Mon, Feb 26, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 50% of the time.
39%
10%
8%
42%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25:52 | 0.00 | 22.4% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:54 | 0.01 | 30.3% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 20:26 | 0.23 | 40.4% | +45.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.02 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:41 | 0.00 | 51.7% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:03 | 0.36 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:55 | 0.22 | 42.5% | +20.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:46 | 0.47 | 69.7% | +42.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:36 | 0.30 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.23 | 35.3% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.06 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.03 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.22 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.08 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.03 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:24 | 0.15 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:38 | 0.07 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 11:21 | 0.22 | 27.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 42 | 39 | 3 | .929 | 2.65 | −0.4 | 65:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 28:11 | 0.16 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 26:41 | 0.22 | 64.4% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:33 | 0.16 | 79.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:24 | 0.23 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:59 | 0.07 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:45 | 0.40 | 58.7% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:58 | 0.31 | 63.0% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:13 | 0.03 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.16 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.22 | 48.8% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.09 | 54.6% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:42 | 0.07 | 78.4% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:38 | 0.07 | 83.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 12:31 | 0.17 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:19 | 0.11 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:30 | 0.08 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 7:49 | 0.09 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5:19 | 0.00 | 43.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.71 | −0.3 | 64:59 |