Mon, Feb 26, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 50% of the time.
39%
10%
8%
42%
TBL winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Marleau–Kadri–Marner | van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Brown | Hyman–Nylander–Kapanen | Plekanec–Komarov–Leivo | Hyman–Nylander–Marner | Plekanec–Komarov–Kapanen | Gardiner–Zaitsev | Polak–Dermott | Hainsey–Rielly | Polak–Gardiner | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killorn–Stamkos–Point | 2:230.01–0.07 | 3:470.20–0.01 | 2:320.11–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 5:170.19–0.00 | 2:180.04–0.01 | 3:290.15–0.07 | ||
| Johnson–Gourde–Erne | 2:130.17–0.35 | 2:380.12–0.05 | 0:390.00–0.04 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 3:360.14–0.09 | 0:530.16–0.35 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | ||
| Killorn–Gourde–Point | 3:420.06–0.00 | 0:460.07–0.00 | 2:210.00–0.07 | 1:100.10–0.00 | 1:500.03–0.00 | |||||
| Kunitz–Stamkos–Kucherov | 1:140.02–0.06 | 2:210.00–0.14 | 0:480.04–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:310.02–0.06 | 2:120.13–0.14 | ||||
| Kunitz–Callahan–Paquette | 1:450.00–0.00 | 0:370.02–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.13 | 1:070.14–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.13 | ||||
| Callahan–Johnson–Erne | 0:400.00–0.00 | 2:210.02–0.10 | 1:340.02–0.00 | 1:100.03–0.08 | ||||||
| Callahan–Conacher–Paquette | 0:510.02–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.07 | ||||||||
| Callahan–Johnson–Conacher | 0:340.03–0.00 | 0:430.03–0.00 | ||||||||
| Conacher–Paquette–Erne | 0:370.00–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.05 | ||||||||
| Coburn–Sustr | 4:260.17–0.00 | 4:100.18–0.08 | 1:290.07–0.00 | 3:280.13–0.00 | 3:430.16–0.00 | 2:170.21–0.08 | ||||
| Stralman–Hedman | 7:380.25–0.43 | 0:590.00–0.02 | 1:060.00–0.04 | 3:160.02–0.13 | 2:410.18–0.35 | 4:320.05–0.10 | ||||
| Girardi–Sergachev | 2:180.16–0.07 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 3:420.25–0.00 | 1:470.04–0.07 | 0:420.02–0.00 | |||
| Stralman–Koekkoek | 0:320.00–0.02 | 1:100.04–0.00 | 2:020.04–0.07 | 1:030.04–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.02 | 1:340.04–0.07 | ||||
| Girardi–Koekkoek | 1:150.00–0.05 | 1:000.31–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.05 | 1:150.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Girardi–Hedman | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.07 | 0:480.00–0.05 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.13 | ||||
| Hedman–Sustr | 1:110.00–0.05 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.05 | ||||||
| Coburn–Girardi | 1:040.00–0.02 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.02 | |||||||
| Stralman–Girardi | 0:470.00–0.03 | 0:560.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Stralman–Sergachev | 0:590.02–0.07 | 0:330.00–0.07 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 31 | 28:11 | 0:55 | 2:16 | 9 | 8 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 31 | 26:41 | 0:52 | 1:19 | 8 | 4 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 27 | 25:52 | 0:57 | 1:46 | 4 | 8 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 29 | 25:33 | 0:53 | 1:42 | 4 | 4 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 28 | 23:24 | 0:50 | 1:54 | 5 | 3 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 24 | 22:54 | 0:57 | 1:42 | 3 | 7 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 29 | 21:59 | 0:45 | 1:52 | 7 | 4 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 28 | 20:26 | 0:44 | 1:43 | 4 | 1 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 25 | 19:45 | 0:47 | 1:41 | 9 | 4 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 24 | 18:58 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 4 | 4 |
 Roman PolakTOR | 27 | 18:53 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 2 | 6 |
 Ron HainseyTOR | 22 | 18:41 | 0:51 | 3:04 | 1 | 1 |
 Dan GirardiTBL | 30 | 18:13 | 0:36 | 1:12 | 13 | 4 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 23 | 18:03 | 0:47 | 1:52 | 6 | 5 |
 Patrick MarleauTOR | 24 | 18:03 | 0:45 | 1:52 | 4 | 3 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 21 | 17:55 | 0:51 | 1:52 | 6 | 3 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 17:46 | 0:43 | 1:42 | 6 | 0 |
 Chris KunitzTBL | 23 | 17:42 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 6 | 3 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 25 | 17:36 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 5 | 1 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 24 | 17:05 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 5 | 6 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 21 | 17:04 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 4 | 4 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 23 | 15:44 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 3 | 4 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 14:58 | 0:45 | 1:44 | 4 | 1 |
 Adam ErneTBL | 24 | 14:57 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 8 | 1 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 21 | 14:56 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 2 | 6 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 21 | 14:42 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 0 | 5 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 24 | 14:38 | 0:37 | 1:18 | 1 | 5 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 22 | 13:44 | 0:37 | 1:18 | 4 | 1 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 17 | 12:31 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 11 | 1 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 18 | 12:24 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 3 | 1 |
 Tomas PlekanecTOR | 20 | 11:38 | 0:35 | 1:19 | 1 | 5 |
 Josh LeivoTOR | 17 | 11:21 | 0:40 | 1:43 | 1 | 3 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 18 | 10:19 | 0:34 | 1:28 | 3 | 2 |
 Cory ConacherTBL | 15 | 9:30 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 3 | 1 |
 Slater KoekkoekTBL | 12 | 7:49 | 0:39 | 1:42 | 1 | 0 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 6 | 5:19 | 0:53 | 1:14 | 1 | 0 |