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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 17, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Boston Bruins 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 65% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nash–Krejci–HeinenKuraly–Schaller–AcciariGionta–Nash–WingelsBackes–Marchand–PastrnakMarchand–Nash–PastrnakKrejci–Marchand–PastrnakMiller–GrzelcykKrug–CarloMcQuaid–HoldenHolden–CarloMcQuaid–KrugHolden–MillerGrzelcyk–CarloMiller–Krug
Kunitz–Callahan–Paquette1:240.00–0.002:050.03–0.084:020.04–0.085:350.07–0.292:040.01–0.000:390.03–0.000:320.02–0.00
Johnson–Gourde–Point1:240.00–0.211:410.02–0.003:040.19–0.051:210.04–0.011:070.00–0.004:230.06–0.240:400.00–0.001:440.19–0.03
Stamkos–Kucherov–Miller2:440.00–0.322:050.07–0.070:390.00–0.000:350.01–0.004:260.06–0.190:580.02–0.001:170.05–0.15
Killorn–Erne–Cirelli2:040.04–0.053:460.06–0.000:480.03–0.002:420.05–0.051:040.05–0.001:030.00–0.001:370.00–0.000:410.02–0.00
Johnson–Kucherov–Point0:440.00–0.001:350.00–0.000:570.02–0.041:120.00–0.001:490.01–0.04
Stamkos–Miller–Gourde0:330.00–0.001:330.02–0.022:200.07–0.02
Callahan–Killorn–Paquette0:460.06–0.000:420.00–0.100:450.06–0.00
Kunitz–Erne–Cirelli0:430.02–0.001:060.02–0.00
Hedman–Dotchin4:210.03–0.583:200.07–0.113:320.03–0.030:350.00–0.001:270.00–0.001:150.01–0.116:580.14–0.263:250.02–0.253:090.00–0.161:470.05–0.150:500.02–0.00
Girardi–McDonagh1:550.06–0.001:170.03–0.003:340.19–0.112:130.05–0.011:420.00–0.074:190.07–0.051:460.13–0.030:350.00–0.001:100.19–0.00
Stralman–Sergachev0:310.00–0.001:310.04–0.042:500.06–0.001:430.07–0.001:070.00–0.041:460.08–0.000:390.03–0.00
Stralman–McDonagh1:200.00–0.150:530.00–0.000:430.02–0.031:440.00–0.000:500.00–0.10
Stralman–Dotchin0:410.00–0.000:370.01–0.000:340.00–0.000:510.00–0.03
Girardi–Sergachev0:340.00–0.001:360.00–0.080:300.00–0.001:060.00–0.080:360.00–0.00
Hedman–Sergachev0:390.00–0.100:540.00–0.000:550.04–0.00
Stralman–Hedman1:350.01–0.001:130.02–0.000:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FPoint FGourde FKillorn FCirelli FErne FMiller FKucherov FStamkos FPaquette FKunitz FCallahan FGirardi DMcDonagh DDotchin DHedman DStralman DSergachev DVasilevskiy GBackes FMarchand FPastrnak FKuraly FAcciari FSchaller FHeinen FKrejci FNash FGionta FNash FWingels FGrzelcyk DMiller DKrug DMcQuaid DCarlo DHolden DRask G
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2528:191:082:2751
Kevan MillerBOS3121:410:421:4006
Nick HoldenBOS3021:260:431:2303
Brandon CarloBOS2920:590:431:3813
Jake DotchinTBL1820:461:092:2731
Brayden PointTBL2419:450:491:3005
Torey KrugBOS2619:370:451:4550
Adam McQuaidBOS2619:210:451:1113
Ryan McDonaghTBL2419:110:482:2305
Nikita KucherovTBL1918:430:592:0340
Riley NashBOS2418:300:461:3005
Yanni GourdeTBL1918:240:581:4612
David KrejciBOS2017:340:532:0213
Brad MarchandBOS2617:300:401:3432
Tyler JohnsonTBL2317:170:451:3004
Matt GrzelcykBOS2617:080:401:3902
Anton StralmanTBL2117:060:491:2533
J.T. MillerTBL1616:461:032:1650
Steven StamkosTBL1716:370:591:4650
Ryan CallahanTBL1915:440:501:1812
Alex KillornTBL1915:310:491:1431
Rick NashBOS2115:240:441:1932
David PastrnakBOS2215:040:411:3430
Dan GirardiTBL2314:490:391:1705
Sean KuralyBOS2114:380:421:1300
Brian GiontaBOS1614:270:541:2702
Mikhail SergachevTBL1714:040:501:1812
Tommy WingelsBOS1614:040:532:0102
Danton HeinenBOS1813:590:471:2323
Noel AcciariBOS1713:430:481:0900
Tim SchallerBOS1913:130:421:0900
Cedric PaquetteTBL1612:380:471:2413
Chris KunitzTBL1511:460:471:2411
Adam ErneTBL1411:270:491:1300
Anthony CirelliTBL1510:470:431:1201
David BackesBOS95:420:381:3430