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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 1, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 2, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pominville–Skinner–EichelSheary–Reinhart–MittelstadtSobotka–Okposo–ElieSobotka–Okposo–ShearyElie–Reinhart–MittelstadtBerglund–Larsson–GirgensonsPominville–Berglund–LarssonSobotka–Sheary–ReinhartMcCabe–RistolainenBogosian–ScandellaNelson–DahlinBogosian–DahlinScandella–DahlinRistolainen–DahlinMcCabe–Nelson
Duchene–Stone–Dzingel1:130.00–0.190:590.00–0.011:310.13–0.052:370.18–0.130:330.00–0.053:050.15–0.192:440.05–0.230:530.13–0.00
Pyatt–Paajarvi–White4:050.01–0.090:330.01–0.010:570.00–0.021:560.00–0.022:100.04–0.081:500.08–0.01
Ryan–Tierney–Formenton0:500.00–0.191:100.00–0.000:520.00–0.000:520.03–0.001:180.00–0.091:100.00–0.041:540.03–0.00
Boedker–McCormick–Paul0:530.02–0.000:460.00–0.000:350.07–0.001:430.02–0.000:350.07–0.00
Stone–Tierney–Formenton0:370.09–0.020:400.00–0.080:370.09–0.02
Ryan–Boedker–Tierney0:460.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Ryan–McCormick–Tierney0:440.00–0.00
Duchene–Stone–Formenton0:330.00–0.020:480.00–0.02
Ceci–Lajoie7:240.25–0.411:460.00–0.090:340.00–0.011:100.00–0.034:320.08–0.103:030.10–0.183:140.08–0.080:460.09–0.020:340.00–0.01
DeMelo–Chabot1:350.00–0.351:070.00–0.020:490.00–0.003:130.23–0.051:180.07–0.060:440.00–0.020:480.03–0.003:450.05–0.293:540.24–0.211:480.03–0.08
Wideman–Jaros0:340.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:460.00–0.081:420.00–0.050:310.00–0.002:190.00–0.080:590.00–0.050:400.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Ceci–Chabot1:160.00–0.030:400.00–0.050:370.00–0.070:530.00–0.030:590.00–0.01
Wideman–Chabot0:390.32–0.001:140.00–0.080:430.01–0.070:400.32–0.001:030.00–0.01
DeMelo–Ceci1:160.00–0.020:440.00–0.020:380.00–0.04
DeMelo–Lajoie1:470.00–0.040:390.00–0.01
DeMelo–Jaros0:530.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPyatt FWhite FPaajarvi FDzingel FDuchene FStone FFormenton FTierney FRyan FPaul FBoedker FMcCormick FCeci DLajoie DDeMelo DChabot DWideman DJaros DAnderson GEichel FPominville FSkinner FSobotka FOkposo FSheary FReinhart FMittelstadt FElie FBerglund FLarsson FGirgensons FMcCabe DRistolainen DBogosian DScandella DNelson DDahlin DHutton G
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2726:280:592:3772
Maxime LajoieOTT2825:180:541:5924
Cody CeciOTT2823:570:512:1904
Thomas ChabotOTT3023:540:481:3341
Jack EichelBUF2323:211:012:0370
Jeff SkinnerBUF2321:550:571:4560
Matt DucheneOTT2221:470:591:5312
Zach BogosianBUF2419:570:501:4016
Chris TierneyOTT2419:430:491:2733
Dylan DeMeloOTT2819:400:421:5204
Mark StoneOTT2119:360:562:0124
Marco ScandellaBUF2418:500:471:2116
Jason PominvilleBUF2218:030:491:4540
Jake McCabeBUF2218:010:492:1221
Sam ReinhartBUF1617:281:061:4560
Rasmus DahlinBUF2017:280:521:4920
Bobby RyanOTT2217:000:461:4742
Colin WhiteOTT2015:470:471:3222
Casey MittelstadtBUF1415:281:061:4551
Ryan DzingelOTT1715:220:541:3640
Vladimir SobotkaBUF2114:560:432:1223
Mikkel BoedkerOTT1514:551:001:5221
Conor ShearyBUF1714:290:512:1242
Chris WidemanOTT1813:520:461:1640
Magnus PaajarviOTT2013:370:411:0105
Tom PyattOTT2113:020:371:0105
Remi ElieBUF1912:470:401:2151
Casey NelsonBUF1712:280:441:1801
Johan LarssonBUF1812:140:411:2907
Kyle OkposoBUF1612:130:462:1252
Alex FormentonOTT1611:360:441:5311
Christian JarosOTT1710:290:371:0014
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1410:000:431:3505
Nick PaulOTT97:200:491:1810
Patrik BerglundBUF106:070:371:2910
Max McCormickOTT86:030:451:0700