Thu, Dec 6, 2018·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 56% of the time.
37%
9%
47%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:08 | 0.03 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:35 | 0.03 | 57.3% | +14.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 24:24 | 0.27 | 60.2% | +23.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 22:45 | 0.69 | 75.6% | +61.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.01 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.65 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 19:03 | 0.56 | 78.5% | +70.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:34 | 0.00 | 40.2% | +17.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.13 | 28.9% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.00 | 25.9% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.48 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.14 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.04 | 52.9% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.05 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.00 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:39 | 0.25 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:07 | 0.12 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 7:06 | 0.00 | 80.3% | +8.4 |
| W | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 3.14 | −0.9 | 62:32 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 23:45 | 0.02 | 49.6% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:42 | 0.11 | 35.9% | +5.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:00 | 0.07 | 64.9% | +13.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:52 | 0.55 | 67.3% | +5.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.21 | 11.4% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:31 | 0.07 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:45 | 0.21 | 15.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:29 | 0.36 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:26 | 0.39 | 57.3% | +47.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:17 | 0.09 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.02 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:57 | 0.58 | 62.7% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:53 | 0.11 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.10 | 65.6% | +47.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:07 | 0.00 | 22.8% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:29 | 0.00 | 12.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:21 | 0.10 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:22 | 0.14 | 22.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 32 | 27 | 5 | .844 | 3.43 | −1.6 | 62:48 |