Thu, Dec 20, 2018·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Calgary Flames 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 57% of the time.
50%
8%
34%
CGY winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:59 | 0.12 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 24:14 | 0.47 | 62.3% | +31.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:01 | 0.10 | 55.8% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:17 | 0.14 | 60.2% | +17.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:31 | 0.28 | 41.4% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.00 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:59 | 0.30 | 57.0% | +21.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:52 | 0.03 | 42.9% | +38.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:49 | 0.12 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:40 | 0.39 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:39 | 0.28 | 40.2% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.00 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:30 | 0.38 | 66.8% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.19 | 54.6% | +38.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:43 | 0.01 | 9.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:32 | 0.03 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:07 | 0.18 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:00 | 0.11 | 56.7% | +13.9 |
| W | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 3.65 | −0.4 | 65:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 28:05 | 0.04 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 25:05 | 0.13 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:23 | 0.08 | 52.8% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:53 | 0.09 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 22:25 | 0.64 | 59.0% | +13.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 22:02 | 0.50 | 42.1% | +57.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:38 | 0.11 | 28.7% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:29 | 0.59 | 40.0% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:11 | 0.69 | 63.3% | +17.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:10 | 0.42 | 68.7% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:38 | 0.10 | 9.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:18 | 0.17 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.01 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.00 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.00 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 7:46 | 0.09 | 1.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:07 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 3.15 | −0.9 | 65:00 |