Sat, Dec 22, 2018·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Edmonton Oilers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.
11%
80%
EDM winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Johnson–Kucherov–Point | Stamkos–Palat–Gourde | Killorn–Miller–Cirelli | Callahan–Paquette–Martel | McDonagh–Cernak | Stralman–Hedman | Coburn–Sergachev | Hedman–Sergachev | McDonagh–Sergachev | Stralman–McDonagh | Coburn–Stralman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nugent-Hopkins–McDavid–Puljujarvi | 4:570.51–0.25 | 2:550.00–0.02 | 1:470.00–0.02 | 4:300.13–0.00 | 4:090.32–0.84 | 0:300.14–0.00 | |||||
| Chiasson–Rieder–Draisaitl | 2:340.00–0.30 | 3:170.15–0.19 | 2:250.00–0.19 | 4:100.13–0.37 | 2:480.12–0.14 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:140.01–0.17 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||
| Brodziak–Lucic–Kassian | 2:010.11–0.07 | 1:270.05–0.03 | 1:240.01–0.02 | 1:500.00–0.26 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:070.01–0.02 | 3:560.21–0.23 | 0:430.00–0.13 | |||
| Spooner–Zykov–Caggiula | 1:050.00–0.16 | 2:310.04–0.00 | 0:540.02–0.14 | 2:050.01–0.12 | 0:570.00–0.03 | 0:320.00–0.36 | |||||
| Brodziak–Lucic–Puljujarvi | 0:430.00–0.08 | 1:000.07–0.00 | 1:250.02–0.39 | 2:320.09–0.24 | |||||||
| Chiasson–Nugent-Hopkins–McDavid | 1:150.03–0.17 | 0:490.01–0.00 | 1:240.04–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.27 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Kassian–Rieder–Draisaitl | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Larsson–Nurse | 9:220.35–1.21 | 4:300.36–0.36 | 1:210.00–0.24 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 8:200.34–0.19 | 5:380.15–1.12 | 3:130.33–0.60 | 0:570.16–0.24 | 0:560.00–0.00 | ||
| Gravel–Jones | 1:430.14–0.07 | 3:320.01–0.13 | 5:520.02–0.36 | 1:550.02–0.15 | 5:050.04–0.39 | 4:430.12–0.19 | 4:060.16–0.10 | 1:100.00–0.17 | |||
| Garrison–Benning | 1:030.00–0.00 | 3:340.05–0.10 | 1:370.01–0.17 | 3:120.18–0.29 | 2:210.17–0.10 | 3:120.03–0.02 | 3:470.10–0.45 | 0:310.21–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.13 |
Every shift, one row per player.
EDMTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Darnell NurseEDM | 31 | 27:27 | 0:53 | 2:08 | 3 | 4 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 28 | 23:48 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 7 | 3 |
 Connor McDavidEDM | 26 | 23:27 | 0:54 | 1:47 | 8 | 5 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 22:54 | 0:51 | 1:20 | 4 | 4 |
 Adam LarssonEDM | 30 | 22:44 | 0:45 | 1:32 | 1 | 3 |
 Leon DraisaitlEDM | 26 | 21:45 | 0:50 | 2:21 | 2 | 3 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 25 | 21:17 | 0:51 | 1:18 | 1 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 24 | 19:49 | 0:50 | 2:27 | 6 | 2 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 28 | 19:27 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 7 | 3 |
 Caleb JonesEDM | 24 | 19:19 | 0:48 | 1:31 | 3 | 2 |
 Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM | 24 | 19:04 | 0:48 | 1:56 | 7 | 4 |
 Kevin GravelEDM | 25 | 18:52 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 3 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 23 | 18:13 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 8 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 24 | 18:08 | 0:45 | 1:56 | 5 | 2 |
 Alex ChiassonEDM | 23 | 17:17 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 3 | 3 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 21 | 17:08 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 5 | 0 |
 Jesse PuljujarviEDM | 21 | 17:05 | 0:49 | 1:13 | 4 | 4 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 21 | 16:53 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 1 | 0 |
 Matt BenningEDM | 20 | 15:51 | 0:48 | 1:18 | 2 | 1 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 22 | 15:51 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 4 | 2 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 22 | 15:45 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 3 | 3 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 18 | 15:30 | 0:52 | 1:17 | 6 | 0 |
 Kyle BrodziakEDM | 20 | 15:27 | 0:46 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 |
 Zack KassianEDM | 20 | 14:25 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 1 | 0 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 22 | 14:14 | 0:39 | 1:17 | 3 | 2 |
 Tobias RiederEDM | 21 | 13:44 | 0:39 | 1:14 | 1 | 2 |
 Milan LucicEDM | 17 | 13:27 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 1 | 0 |
 Jason GarrisonEDM | 16 | 12:56 | 0:49 | 1:09 | 2 | 0 |
 J.T. MillerTBL | 17 | 12:56 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 17 | 12:50 | 0:45 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 17 | 11:29 | 0:41 | 1:01 | 0 | 2 |
 Drake CaggiulaEDM | 13 | 9:37 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 2 | 2 |
 Danick MartelTBL | 13 | 9:11 | 0:42 | 1:01 | 0 | 2 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 14 | 8:52 | 0:38 | 1:11 | 0 | 2 |
 Ryan SpoonerEDM | 11 | 7:20 | 0:40 | 0:58 | 2 | 2 |
 Valentin ZykovEDM | 9 | 5:58 | 0:40 | 1:02 | 2 | 2 |