Wed, Oct 9, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 4, Buffalo Sabres 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 61% of the time.
31%
10%
52%
BUF winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 25:27 | 0.11 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:11 | 0.07 | 69.8% | +33.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:01 | 0.03 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:48 | 0.00 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.28 | 80.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:52 | 0.00 | 50.3% | +33.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:49 | 0.00 | 47.8% | +15.2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 16:30 | 0.73 | 69.2% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:14 | 0.46 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.09 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:05 | 0.36 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:51 | 0.31 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.26 | 51.1% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.00 | 43.6% | +33.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.00 | 47.5% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.01 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.03 | 60.8% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:56 | 0.23 | 83.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 39 | 34 | 5 | .872 | 2.47 | −2.5 | 60:51 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:00 | 0.03 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:36 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 21:19 | 0.38 | 37.1% | +108.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:56 | 0.11 | 35.4% | +20.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20:01 | 0.46 | 51.6% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.23 | 11.1% | +55.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.02 | 11.1% | +32.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:53 | 0.08 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:32 | 0.10 | 50.1% | +70.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:53 | 0.04 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:40 | 0.40 | 30.7% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:25 | 0.14 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.10 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.13 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:49 | 0.17 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.02 | 9.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.00 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:26 | 0.05 | 16.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.99 | −1.0 | 61:16 |