Tue, Oct 15, 2019·Centre Bell, Montreal
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Montréal Canadiens 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.
31%
9%
10%
51%
MTL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 26:36 | 0.04 | 78.0% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:17 | 0.02 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:48 | 0.52 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.05 | 16.8% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.02 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:02 | 0.27 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.11 | 51.9% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 17:14 | 0.05 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.10 | 53.1% | +37.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.07 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.19 | 62.6% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.16 | 75.9% | +37.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:27 | 0.12 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.17 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:23 | 0.08 | 83.5% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:17 | 0.57 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:00 | 0.36 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:47 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 33 | 1 | .971 | 2.38 | +1.4 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 24:04 | 0.24 | 46.7% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.03 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.09 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:09 | 0.12 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:48 | 0.40 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.07 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.02 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:30 | 0.36 | 53.7% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.01 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:14 | 0.04 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:49 | 0.34 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:34 | 0.02 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.00 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:49 | 0.01 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:53 | 0.40 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.00 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.02 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.20 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.39 | −0.6 | 57:41 |