Sat, Dec 28, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Montréal Canadiens 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 56% of the time.
37%
10%
46%
TBL winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 24:47 | 0.16 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 24:26 | 0.29 | 36.5% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:32 | 0.19 | 52.2% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 0.27 | 56.6% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21:58 | 0.32 | 59.3% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:53 | 0.02 | 60.5% | +3.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.04 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.16 | 27.3% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 16:34 | 0.10 | 26.0% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 14:24 | 0.29 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:59 | 0.57 | 69.4% | +3.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.01 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:42 | 0.26 | 67.4% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:18 | 0.02 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.04 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:34 | 0.32 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:14 | 0.00 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:52 | 0.08 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 25 | 5 | .833 | 2.89 | −2.1 | 58:03 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:09 | 0.00 | 48.6% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 3 | 21:59 | 0.25 | 85.5% | +69.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 4 | 21:05 | 0.26 | 74.7% | +51.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:27 | 0.03 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:27 | 0.02 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:49 | 0.07 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 18:48 | 0.53 | 74.7% | +36.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.26 | 74.7% | +30.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:21 | 0.33 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.16 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.00 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 14:39 | 0.17 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:16 | 0.25 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.04 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.02 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:41 | 0.12 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.00 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:43 | 0.38 | 59.2% | +17.4 |
| W | 43 | 39 | 4 | .907 | 3.13 | −0.9 | 60:00 |