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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 28, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Montréal Canadiens 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 56% of the time.

TBL winsMTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tatar–Gallagher–DanaultLehkonen–Domi–SuzukiWeal–Cousins–KotkaniemiThompson–Barber–PoehlingTatar–Gallagher–DomiThompson–Weal–CousinsDanault–Barber–PoehlingWeber–ChiarotPetry–KulakMete–FleuryPetry–MeteChiarot–FleuryKulak–FleuryWeber–MeteWeber–PetryChiarot–KulakPetry–ChiarotWeber–Kulak
Palat–Kucherov–Point3:440.08–0.344:290.22–0.101:100.00–0.332:180.20–0.320:380.00–0.000:410.12–0.005:320.14–0.694:400.25–0.100:420.00–0.000:590.03–0.280:480.00–0.001:040.22–0.01
Killorn–Stamkos–Cirelli8:280.25–0.223:000.60–0.030:380.00–0.016:150.27–0.114:160.67–0.121:030.00–0.000:570.00–0.00
Johnson–Gourde–Joseph0:320.02–0.001:080.00–0.083:340.08–0.082:360.17–0.001:360.17–0.000:380.00–0.003:070.00–0.080:410.04–0.001:160.08–0.000:490.00–0.08
Maroon–Paquette–Stephens1:540.38–0.103:580.18–0.170:390.05–0.041:310.00–0.232:390.41–0.091:330.09–0.100:590.12–0.07
Maroon–Johnson–Gourde0:360.00–0.05
Killorn–Stamkos–Paquette0:470.00–0.00
Paquette–Joseph–Stephens0:460.00–0.001:030.00–0.00
Johnson–Palat–Gourde0:550.00–0.00
McDonagh–Cernak4:110.15–0.272:510.00–0.123:060.17–0.111:500.06–0.044:150.15–0.022:420.05–0.230:430.00–0.040:530.00–0.101:470.15–0.071:030.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Shattenkirk–Sergachev1:350.00–0.302:050.11–0.035:090.00–0.220:490.05–0.240:360.00–0.051:020.00–0.003:010.09–0.342:420.14–0.144:060.00–0.130:340.03–0.220:390.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Hedman–Rutta4:110.11–0.063:200.69–0.160:350.06–0.012:180.31–0.014:380.22–0.102:410.60–0.071:320.11–0.000:380.09–0.000:430.00–0.001:040.14–0.010:300.00–0.08
Shattenkirk–Hedman1:060.00–0.000:560.00–0.001:430.00–0.040:350.11–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev1:010.00–0.251:350.00–0.071:300.00–0.350:390.00–0.040:450.00–0.07
McDonagh–Rutta0:480.00–0.060:410.12–0.000:560.12–0.000:440.00–0.07
Hedman–Sergachev1:130.40–0.001:390.18–0.00
Shattenkirk–McDonagh1:230.10–0.000:300.10–0.000:480.00–0.00
McDonagh–Sergachev0:440.00–0.010:390.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKillorn FCirelli FStamkos FPalat FPoint FKucherov FJoseph FJohnson FGourde FPaquette FMaroon FStephens FMcDonagh DCernak DRutta DHedman DShattenkirk DSergachev DVasilevskiy GGallagher FDanault FTatar FDomi FSuzuki FLehkonen FKotkaniemi FCousins FWeal FPoehling FThompson FBarber FWeber DChiarot DKulak DPetry DFleury DMete DPrice G
TBLMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Shea WeberMTL2624:470:571:5433
Jeff PetryMTL2224:261:073:5331
Ben ChiarotMTL2323:321:011:4002
Ryan McDonaghTBL2523:090:562:1114
Phillip DanaultMTL2622:110:511:3737
Victor HedmanTBL2221:591:001:5821
Brendan GallagherMTL2421:580:553:1236
Alex KillornTBL2521:050:511:30104
Tomas TatarMTL2420:530:523:1236
Mikhail SergachevTBL2320:270:532:1941
Erik CernakTBL2319:270:512:1105
Kevin ShattenkirkTBL2218:490:511:3931
Steven StamkosTBL2318:480:491:30104
Anthony CirelliTBL2418:290:461:1895
Brayden PointTBL2218:210:502:1931
Brett KulakMTL1818:001:001:4110
Nikita KucherovTBL2217:370:482:0631
Ondrej PalatTBL2217:190:472:0621
Max DomiMTL2317:130:451:0641
Nick SuzukiMTL2116:340:471:4553
Jan RuttaTBL1914:390:461:2522
Artturi LehkonenMTL2114:240:411:1622
Jordan WealMTL1913:590:441:2813
Nick CousinsMTL1813:430:461:2803
Jesperi KotkaniemiMTL1913:420:431:2800
Cale FleuryMTL1813:180:441:2311
Yanni GourdeTBL1513:160:531:3312
Victor MeteMTL1512:290:501:3711
Tyler JohnsonTBL1412:100:521:3311
Mathieu JosephTBL1511:270:461:1401
Cedric PaquetteTBL1710:410:381:1103
Ryan PoehlingMTL1610:340:401:3840
Patrick MaroonTBL169:500:371:1312
Riley BarberMTL159:140:372:1940
Nate ThompsonMTL188:520:301:0342
Mitchell StephensTBL168:430:331:0302