Tue, Feb 4, 2020·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 6, Buffalo Sabres 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
44%
9%
12%
35%
BUF winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:25 | 0.00 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.00 | 42.6% | +20.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.05 | 59.2% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:49 | 0.25 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:36 | 0.16 | 49.4% | +1.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.19 | 71.2% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 19:07 | 0.09 | 50.4% | +3.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.15 | 53.0% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.25 | 55.7% | +1.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 15:19 | 0.64 | 72.5% | +28.6 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.08 | 64.7% | +40.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 3 | 14:47 | 0.12 | 73.3% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.03 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.01 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.02 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.03 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:17 | 0.05 | 32.2% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.00 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.37 | +1.4 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:47 | 0.22 | 53.2% | +14.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:20 | 0.82 | 56.2% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.05 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:42 | 0.12 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.14 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:25 | 0.01 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:49 | 0.00 | 29.2% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 17:33 | 0.28 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.10 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:12 | 0.08 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.29 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.03 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.02 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.00 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.00 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.07 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.02 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:35 | 0.13 | 45.1% | 0.0 |
| – | 14 | 13 | 1 | .929 | 1.08 | +0.1 | 29:34 | |
| L | 13 | 8 | 5 | .615 | 1.06 | −3.9 | 30:26 |