Tue, Feb 4, 2020·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 6, Buffalo Sabres 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
44%
9%
12%
35%
BUF winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Landeskog–MacKinnon–Rantanen | Kadri–Burakovsky–Nichushkin | Donskoi–Nieto–Jost | Calvert–Compher–Bellemare | Calvert–Compher–MacKinnon | Kadri–Burakovsky–MacKinnon | Johnson–Girard | Graves–Makar | Cole–Zadorov | Johnson–Graves | Cole–Graves | Zadorov–Girard | Girard–Makar | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vesey–Reinhart–Eichel | 7:310.21–0.22 | 2:280.02–0.32 | 1:150.30–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 0:410.07–0.00 | 4:210.07–0.18 | 5:190.20–0.13 | 4:560.05–0.22 | 0:470.38–0.00 | ||||
| Frolik–Johansson–Sheary | 3:050.24–0.12 | 4:480.15–0.42 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 1:020.17–0.00 | 3:320.03–0.03 | 3:370.40–0.08 | 4:040.14–0.42 | 0:540.00–0.00 | |||||
| Skinner–Girgensons–Rodrigues | 0:490.07–0.07 | 2:300.13–0.19 | 3:180.00–0.08 | 2:040.00–0.13 | 0:390.00–0.05 | 3:410.10–0.05 | 2:190.00–0.11 | 2:470.13–0.31 | |||||
| Girgensons–Dea–Asplund | 0:590.00–0.01 | 0:340.07–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.01 | 0:360.08–0.00 | ||||||||
| Dea–Sheary–Asplund | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:520.06–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:430.06–0.00 | |||||||||
| Frolik–Dea–Asplund | 1:120.01–0.03 | 1:010.01–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Skinner–Dea–Asplund | 1:150.00–0.10 | 0:450.00–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Bogosian–McCabe | 3:030.01–0.10 | 3:100.03–0.10 | 0:590.00–0.01 | 0:550.13–0.00 | 4:010.10–0.04 | 2:190.00–0.05 | 1:030.00–0.05 | 0:460.08–0.00 | |||||
| Montour–Jokiharju | 0:490.03–0.02 | 1:450.13–0.02 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 1:330.06–0.02 | 1:590.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.02 | 3:080.21–0.04 | ||||||
| McCabe–Ristolainen | 1:490.00–0.11 | 0:390.00–0.10 | 3:060.01–0.06 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 2:440.01–0.02 | 2:020.00–0.17 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||
| Ristolainen–Pilut | 3:070.05–0.16 | 0:500.00–0.07 | 1:550.00–0.05 | 2:280.00–0.00 | 2:370.07–0.08 | 1:080.03–0.16 | |||||||
| Bogosian–Miller | 1:530.16–0.07 | 1:280.00–0.54 | 2:160.17–0.00 | 2:080.03–0.03 | 2:080.19–0.09 | 2:150.14–0.50 | |||||||
| Miller–Jokiharju | 0:380.11–0.01 | 1:450.13–0.19 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:380.00–0.13 | 1:500.23–0.01 | 3:250.02–0.13 | |||||||
| Montour–Pilut | 2:210.17–0.05 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:580.07–0.00 | 1:400.10–0.01 | 1:330.00–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||
| Miller–Montour | |||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Pilut | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.01 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik JohnsonCOL | 25 | 21:25 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 5 | 5 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 23 | 20:47 | 0:54 | 1:42 | 4 | 3 |
 Ryan GravesCOL | 27 | 20:43 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 0 | 3 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 23 | 20:20 | 0:53 | 1:19 | 4 | 4 |
 Conor ShearyBUF | 26 | 20:09 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 3 | 5 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 23 | 20:03 | 0:52 | 1:34 | 4 | 3 |
 Ian ColeCOL | 24 | 19:49 | 0:50 | 1:21 | 1 | 7 |
 Jimmy VeseyBUF | 23 | 19:42 | 0:51 | 1:29 | 2 | 4 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 22 | 19:36 | 0:53 | 1:32 | 2 | 1 |
 Marcus JohanssonBUF | 23 | 19:17 | 0:50 | 1:59 | 4 | 2 |
 Nikita ZadorovCOL | 23 | 19:13 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 1 | 6 |
 Cale MakarCOL | 23 | 19:07 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 1 | 2 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 20 | 18:25 | 0:55 | 1:31 | 3 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 19 | 17:49 | 0:56 | 1:34 | 2 | 3 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 21 | 17:33 | 0:50 | 1:25 | 3 | 2 |
 Michael FrolikBUF | 23 | 17:18 | 0:45 | 1:05 | 2 | 2 |
 Brandon MontourBUF | 18 | 17:12 | 0:57 | 1:35 | 3 | 2 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 20 | 17:09 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 1 | 3 |
 Mikko RantanenCOL | 18 | 16:44 | 0:56 | 1:16 | 2 | 2 |
 Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 17 | 16:35 | 0:59 | 1:28 | 1 | 2 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 18 | 15:34 | 0:52 | 1:26 | 2 | 1 |
 Colin MillerBUF | 19 | 15:23 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 2 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriCOL | 20 | 15:19 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 3 | 4 |
 Andre BurakovskyCOL | 19 | 15:16 | 0:48 | 1:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Valeri NichushkinCOL | 18 | 14:47 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 1 | 3 |
 Lawrence PilutBUF | 20 | 14:38 | 0:44 | 1:53 | 3 | 1 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 19 | 14:24 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 2 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 20 | 13:49 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 2 | 1 |
 Matt CalvertCOL | 18 | 13:32 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 Tyson JostCOL | 16 | 13:23 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 3 | 1 |
 J.T. CompherCOL | 18 | 13:23 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 2 | 4 |
 Matt NietoCOL | 17 | 12:52 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 4 | 2 |
 Joonas DonskoiCOL | 17 | 12:17 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 5 | 1 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareCOL | 16 | 11:56 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 2 | 4 |
 Jean-Sebastien DeaBUF | 14 | 10:07 | 0:43 | 1:04 | 1 | 1 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 14 | 9:35 | 0:41 | 1:01 | 0 | 1 |