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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 27, 2020·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Chicago Blackhawks 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 51% of the time.

TBL winsCHI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kane–Strome–NylanderToews–Saad–KubalikCarpenter–Highmore–KampfDeBrincat–Caggiula–DachKane–DeBrincat–DachSaad–Caggiula–DachMaatta–KoekkoekMurphy–CarlssonKeith–BoqvistKeith–MurphyCarlsson–BoqvistMurphy–Maatta
Killorn–Johnson–Cirelli2:420.07–0.153:550.45–0.021:180.00–0.002:130.40–0.001:170.00–0.082:050.04–0.001:420.05–0.09
Palat–Kucherov–Point2:180.14–0.031:130.13–0.001:500.00–0.001:350.01–0.000:540.03–0.004:340.16–0.051:380.11–0.001:110.03–0.000:460.00–0.00
Goodrow–Gourde–Paquette2:100.00–0.041:250.01–0.001:280.02–0.040:510.00–0.000:410.00–0.043:100.04–0.021:380.00–0.180:490.00–0.020:480.02–0.00
Palat–Verhaeghe–Stephens0:300.03–0.000:580.00–0.001:320.03–0.00
Johnson–Verhaeghe–Stephens0:580.00–0.000:560.00–0.00
Goodrow–Paquette–Stephens0:350.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Goodrow–Verhaeghe–Stephens0:450.08–0.020:450.08–0.02
Shattenkirk–Sergachev1:280.04–0.022:470.35–0.021:420.03–0.001:260.00–0.000:540.03–0.003:290.33–0.002:390.06–0.041:150.04–0.001:280.05–0.00
Coburn–Bogosian1:080.00–0.022:060.14–0.082:030.03–0.003:110.04–0.043:180.16–0.081:450.00–0.001:190.00–0.060:510.02–0.000:510.00–0.00
Hedman–Cernak2:350.03–0.181:030.00–0.001:360.08–0.021:130.00–0.031:000.08–0.072:510.00–0.091:190.03–0.39
Schenn–Hedman0:420.11–0.001:100.01–0.001:220.01–0.001:440.01–0.020:500.01–0.001:150.11–0.09
Cernak–Sergachev0:510.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Coburn–Shattenkirk0:350.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Shattenkirk–Hedman
Bogosian–Sergachev0:470.03–0.000:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPalat FPoint FKucherov FJohnson FKillorn FCirelli FPaquette FGoodrow FGourde FStephens FVerhaeghe FShattenkirk DSergachev DHedman DCernak DBogosian DCoburn DSchenn DMcElhinney GCarpenter FHighmore FKampf FKubalik FToews FSaad FNylander FKane FStrome FDeBrincat FDach FCaggiula FMaatta DKoekkoek DBoqvist DKeith DMurphy DCarlsson DCrawford G
TBLCHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Duncan KeithCHI2928:450:591:4725
Victor HedmanTBL2725:450:571:4544
Mikhail SergachevTBL2124:581:113:2233
Olli MaattaCHI2723:330:522:1626
Anthony CirelliTBL2221:370:592:0254
Alex KillornTBL2320:400:541:5253
Patrick KaneCHI1920:261:051:4722
Nikita KucherovTBL2020:201:012:1071
Jonathan ToewsCHI2319:510:521:4554
Connor MurphyCHI2319:370:511:3404
Brayden PointTBL2119:320:561:5981
Alex DeBrincatCHI1817:380:591:3361
Slater KoekkoekCHI2517:150:411:3315
Erik CernakTBL2016:590:511:3336
Dominik KubalikCHI1816:290:551:3351
Tyler JohnsonTBL1916:230:521:4033
Brandon SaadCHI2016:150:491:1624
Yanni GourdeTBL2216:070:441:1513
Ondrej PalatTBL2215:450:431:2052
Kevin ShattenkirkTBL2214:520:411:0252
Zach BogosianTBL1914:280:461:2412
Barclay GoodrowTBL2014:120:431:0317
Kirby DachCHI1514:080:571:1432
David KampfCHI2113:520:401:0614
Dylan StromeCHI1513:320:541:1721
Mitchell StephensTBL2013:280:401:1716
Ryan CarpenterCHI2112:530:371:1515
Drake CaggiulaCHI1512:300:501:1122
Adam BoqvistCHI1311:530:552:4800
Lucas CarlssonCHI1411:400:501:1913
Cedric PaquetteTBL1611:370:441:2703
Braydon CoburnTBL1710:470:381:2212
Matthew HighmoreCHI169:580:371:0810
Alex NylanderCHI109:130:551:2011
Carter VerhaegheTBL127:520:391:1811
Luke SchennTBL84:310:340:5301