Sat, Feb 29, 2020·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Calgary Flames 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 96% of the time.
94%
TBL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:21 | 0.05 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:19 | 0.02 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:01 | 0.12 | – | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:28 | 0.09 | – | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:09 | 0.12 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:16 | 0.26 | – | +21.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:23 | 0.15 | – | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:10 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:02 | 0.07 | – | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:53 | 0.25 | – | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.00 | – | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.06 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:07 | 0.07 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:53 | 0.03 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:21 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:05 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 3.15 | −0.9 | 56:58 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:18 | 0.02 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 21:53 | 0.01 | – | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 21:44 | 0.08 | – | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:20 | 0.36 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:11 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:54 | 0.74 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:00 | 0.30 | – | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:39 | 1.04 | – | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:48 | 0.65 | – | +14.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:58 | 0.18 | – | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:56 | 0.03 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:40 | 0.18 | – | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.00 | – | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.86 | – | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:38 | 0.37 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:26 | 0.00 | – | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:06 | 0.16 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:34 | 0.07 | – | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 1.29 | −1.7 | 60:00 |
Shift data for this game is incomplete, so on-ice figures are not shown.