Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 29, 2020·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Calgary Flames 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 96% of the time.

TBL winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Backlund–Mangiapane–TkachukGaudreau–Lindholm–MonahanLucic–Bennett–DubeRieder–Jankowski–BennettLucic–Ryan–DubeGiordano–BrodieHanifin–AnderssonForbort–GustafssonGustafsson–HanifinForbort–Andersson
Killorn–Coleman–Cirelli9:310.34–0.201:170.17–0.005:590.47–0.073:540.15–0.081:540.00–0.050:440.00–0.00
Palat–Kucherov–Point1:350.00–0.025:180.21–0.162:050.00–0.001:210.02–0.030:400.00–0.003:480.17–0.033:530.00–0.152:260.05–0.070:530.01–0.000:410.00–0.00
Johnson–Goodrow–Gourde1:000.00–0.002:040.62–0.021:400.27–0.001:580.32–0.001:110.08–0.003:451.23–0.002:170.00–0.02
Maroon–Paquette–Stephens1:320.06–0.002:450.17–0.010:300.00–0.001:260.04–0.001:070.00–0.002:120.04–0.002:060.07–0.001:360.00–0.010:590.03–0.00
Hedman–Cernak5:580.23–0.044:260.15–0.130:510.00–0.021:070.04–0.002:130.32–0.003:060.11–0.105:130.53–0.043:590.00–0.041:100.03–0.000:570.00–0.00
Shattenkirk–Sergachev3:480.02–0.054:250.32–0.100:400.00–0.001:240.02–0.037:150.39–0.031:190.00–0.082:000.00–0.100:310.00–0.00
Coburn–Bogosian3:100.06–0.100:430.17–0.002:300.62–0.001:310.00–0.001:150.08–0.005:400.79–0.100:550.00–0.00
Coburn–Shattenkirk1:550.07–0.090:440.27–0.001:510.07–0.041:060.27–0.00
Bogosian–Sergachev1:140.10–0.010:340.00–0.001:250.05–0.00
Bogosian–Hedman0:570.00–0.001:040.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKillorn FColeman FCirelli FPalat FPoint FKucherov FStephens FJohnson FGoodrow FGourde FPaquette FMaroon FHedman DCernak DShattenkirk DSergachev DCoburn DBogosian DVasilevskiy GBacklund FTkachuk FMangiapane FGaudreau FMonahan FLindholm FDube FRyan FLucic FRieder FJankowski FBennett FAndersson DHanifin DGiordano DBrodie DForbort DGustafsson DRittich G
TBLCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2225:181:094:1113
Mark GiordanoCGY2823:210:501:3845
Rasmus AnderssonCGY2523:190:561:5524
Mikael BacklundCGY2422:010:551:4234
Mikhail SergachevTBL2321:530:572:0474
Nikita KucherovTBL2321:440:572:0453
Matthew TkachukCGY2221:280:591:4242
Erik CernakTBL2321:200:561:5512
Anthony CirelliTBL2421:110:531:3837
Noah HanifinCGY2521:090:511:2711
Brayden PointTBL2320:540:552:0453
Elias LindholmCGY2520:160:491:3764
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2219:230:531:2632
TJ BrodieCGY2419:100:481:4635
Alex KillornTBL2218:000:491:2535
Blake ColemanTBL2117:390:501:2323
Johnny GaudreauCGY1917:020:541:3761
Sean MonahanCGY2016:530:511:3771
Ondrej PalatTBL2216:480:462:1742
Derek ForbortCGY2316:040:421:3504
Tyler JohnsonTBL1815:580:532:0473
Kevin ShattenkirkTBL1815:560:531:2342
Zach BogosianTBL1615:400:592:2612
Erik GustafssonCGY2115:090:431:4231
Braydon CoburnTBL1513:480:551:2824
Milan LucicCGY1712:360:441:3842
Yanni GourdeTBL1612:150:461:4342
Sam BennettCGY1511:520:471:5241
Dillon DubeCGY1511:070:441:1933
Mark JankowskiCGY1410:530:471:3514
Barclay GoodrowTBL1510:380:430:5932
Cedric PaquetteTBL1410:260:451:0721
Patrick MaroonTBL1310:060:471:2121
Mitchell StephensTBL159:340:381:0723
Derek RyanCGY127:210:371:2414
Tobias RiederCGY117:050:391:2302