Fri, May 7, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Dallas Stars 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 60% of the time.
29%
11%
11%
49%
TBL winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:17 | 0.06 | 71.4% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 2 | 24:21 | 0.05 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:39 | 0.37 | 74.9% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:18 | 0.01 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:41 | 0.02 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:04 | 0.15 | 84.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.04 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 15:53 | 0.34 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.02 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.01 | 87.3% | +1.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:23 | 0.14 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.17 | 75.0% | +37.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:34 | 0.00 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0.41 | 79.8% | +39.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.25 | 62.3% | +8.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.03 | 8.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:34 | 0.01 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.00 | 56.5% | +17.1 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 1.61 | −0.4 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 23:45 | 0.08 | 35.8% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.04 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:32 | 0.01 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:40 | 0.03 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.07 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 17:23 | 0.12 | 21.6% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 17:22 | 0.00 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:02 | 0.05 | 53.7% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.04 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:07 | 0.33 | 25.7% | +0.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:04 | 0.21 | 49.5% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.16 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.02 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:57 | 0.15 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.03 | 45.3% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.00 | 6.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:46 | 0.09 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:30 | 0.17 | 65.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 2.09 | −2.9 | 59:40 |