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Ice Lab

Fri, May 7, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Dallas Stars 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 60% of the time.

TBL winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pavelski–Hintz–KivirantaBenn–Seguin–RobertsonComeau–Cogliano–DickinsonFaksa–Gurianov–KeroSeguin–Faksa–RobertsonCogliano–Faksa–GurianovComeau–Dickinson–KeroFaksa–Dickinson–GurianovOleksiak–HeiskanenSekera–LindellKlingberg–HanleyKlingberg–LindellLindell–Heiskanen
Coleman–Goodrow–Gourde1:360.00–0.145:370.04–0.010:410.08–0.050:540.00–0.021:070.13–0.007:020.09–0.082:290.01–0.074:210.20–0.020:390.00–0.05
Palat–Point–Cirelli3:030.14–0.162:440.00–0.061:170.02–0.033:220.04–0.121:400.10–0.160:360.00–0.032:540.03–0.03
Maroon–Colton–Barré-Boulet0:480.01–0.051:540.01–0.002:080.07–0.080:450.00–0.001:250.00–0.05
Palat–Point–Barré-Boulet2:100.00–0.092:060.04–0.432:020.00–0.02
Killorn–Johnson–Joseph1:510.00–0.002:030.00–0.000:570.00–0.180:350.00–0.00
Maroon–Joseph–Colton0:380.00–0.051:330.06–0.011:030.05–0.001:540.06–0.06
Killorn–Johnson–Cirelli1:260.00–0.010:570.00–0.001:270.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Maroon–Johnson–Barré-Boulet0:480.01–0.000:560.00–0.000:370.01–0.00
Maroon–Johnson–Joseph0:360.00–0.131:140.00–0.22
Killorn–Joseph–Colton0:470.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Killorn–Colton–Barré-Boulet
McDonagh–Savard3:290.14–0.181:390.00–0.240:450.00–0.031:050.04–0.001:140.03–0.020:570.00–0.006:180.20–0.543:380.10–0.020:550.00–0.021:430.00–0.25
Hedman–Cernak1:080.00–0.236:450.04–0.010:330.08–0.000:340.00–0.015:090.02–0.073:150.01–0.412:210.08–0.010:380.00–0.00
Sergachev–Rutta1:150.06–0.005:210.04–0.312:240.22–0.032:380.06–0.211:500.00–0.003:370.22–0.121:500.04–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev1:400.00–0.071:060.01–0.000:470.00–0.001:530.00–0.072:320.01–0.00
Hedman–Rutta1:000.00–0.051:070.13–0.001:090.00–0.001:070.13–0.000:470.00–0.05
Hedman–Savard0:380.00–0.000:370.00–0.031:140.04–0.030:560.00–0.00
McDonagh–Sergachev0:310.04–0.050:510.04–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FKillorn FCirelli FGoodrow FColeman FGourde FPalat FPoint FBarré-Boulet FJoseph FMaroon FColton FRutta DSergachev DCernak DHedman DMcDonagh DSavard DMcElhinney GCogliano FComeau FDickinson FBenn FRobertson FSeguin FPavelski FHintz FKiviranta FFaksa FGurianov FKero FKlingberg DLindell DOleksiak DHeiskanen DSekera DHanley DKhudobin G
TBLDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Miro HeiskanenDAL2725:170:561:5126
Esa LindellDAL2724:210:541:3323
Victor HedmanTBL2423:450:591:3643
Jamie OleksiakDAL2723:390:531:4227
Mikhail SergachevTBL2321:050:551:2952
Yanni GourdeTBL2420:320:511:1875
Erik CernakTBL2218:400:511:2547
John KlingbergDAL2118:180:521:5133
David SavardTBL2117:530:511:4601
Radek FaksaDAL2517:410:421:2813
Ondrej PalatTBL2017:230:521:2332
Brayden PointTBL1917:220:551:2342
Barclay GoodrowTBL2117:020:491:1854
Ryan McDonaghTBL1916:360:521:4601
Alex Barré-BouletTBL1916:070:511:2041
Blake ColemanTBL2116:040:461:1854
Tyler SeguinDAL2416:040:401:2438
Anthony CirelliTBL2015:580:481:2362
Jason DickinsonDAL2315:540:411:0413
Blake ComeauDAL2615:530:371:0113
Andrej SekeraDAL1915:520:501:3841
Jamie BennDAL2315:380:411:2447
Jason RobertsonDAL2215:230:421:2433
Jan RuttaTBL1815:090:511:1722
Roope HintzDAL2215:060:411:2121
Patrick MaroonTBL1714:570:531:2932
Alex KillornTBL2014:370:441:2301
Andrew CoglianoDAL2414:340:361:4502
Tyler JohnsonTBL1713:540:491:2921
Joe PavelskiDAL2113:130:381:2541
Joel KivirantaDAL2113:070:371:0531
Denis GurianovDAL1611:370:441:0730
Joel HanleyDAL1811:340:391:2740
Mathieu JosephTBL1410:460:461:2901
Ross ColtonTBL1410:300:451:2013
Tanner KeroDAL1410:180:441:1011