Tue, Jan 26, 2021·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 51% of the time.
42%
9%
11%
38%
CGY winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 24:06 | 0.46 | 43.9% | +15.4 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:38 | 0.03 | 56.4% | +16.6 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:11 | 0.03 | 42.2% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.00 | 39.0% | +51.5 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.18 | 39.5% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:03 | 0.31 | 40.0% | +51.5 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:45 | 0.22 | 36.5% | +51.5 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:25 | 0.17 | 38.4% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.18 | 46.9% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.22 | 37.5% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:36 | 0.21 | 63.8% | 0.0 |
 Mikko LehtonenD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.08 | 32.5% | 0.0 |
 Jimmy VeseyLW · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:18 | 0.21 | 59.4% | +16.6 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.00 | 19.5% | +15.4 |
 Travis BoydC · #72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:16 | 0.09 | 29.6% | +15.4 |
 Joey AndersonRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:36 | 0.00 | 17.6% | 0.0 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:25 | 0.38 | 61.8% | +16.6 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.87 | −0.1 | 59:33 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mark GiordanoD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:35 | 0.02 | 46.4% | +31.4 |
 Johnny GaudreauLW · #13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 22:22 | 0.35 | 58.1% | +46.6 |
 Sean MonahanC · #23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 22:06 | 0.07 | 59.3% | +46.6 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:07 | 0.10 | 55.7% | 0.0 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:40 | 0.04 | 68.3% | 0.0 |
 Matthew TkachukLW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:02 | 0.53 | 63.0% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:00 | 0.17 | 73.0% | +15.2 |
 Elias LindholmC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:51 | 0.47 | 68.3% | 0.0 |
 Andrew MangiapaneLW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:19 | 0.33 | 69.3% | 0.0 |
 Juuso VälimäkiD · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.17 | 51.9% | +15.8 |
 Dominik SimonC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.00 | 51.6% | 0.0 |
 Nikita NesterovD · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:22 | 0.02 | 49.1% | 0.0 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.22 | 26.8% | +15.8 |
 Sam BennettC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.04 | 28.6% | 0.0 |
 Milan LucicLW · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.06 | 74.4% | +15.8 |
 Derek RyanC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:35 | 0.22 | 96.9% | 0.0 |
 Josh LeivoLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.07 | 39.7% | 0.0 |
 Joakim NordstromC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:51 | 0.00 | 75.6% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Markstrom#25 | L | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 2.30 | −1.7 | 58:21 |