Tue, Jan 26, 2021·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 51% of the time.
42%
9%
11%
38%
CGY winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hyman–Marner–Matthews | Tavares–Nylander–Mikheyev | Boyd–Engvall–Anderson | Simmonds–Vesey–Kerfoot | Tavares–Hyman–Mikheyev | Vesey–Kerfoot–Mikheyev | Brodie–Rielly | Muzzin–Holl | Bogosian–Lehtonen | Muzzin–Bogosian | Muzzin–Lehtonen | Bogosian–Rielly | Brodie–Holl | Holl–Rielly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaudreau–Monahan–Simon | 0:510.00–0.00 | 6:590.50–0.18 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 5:540.33–0.08 | 3:240.16–0.05 | 0:560.00–0.13 | 1:350.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||
| Lindholm–Mangiapane–Tkachuk | 10:241.01–0.41 | 0:560.00–0.12 | 0:370.00–0.02 | 3:010.00–0.04 | 6:430.49–0.49 | 0:380.21–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.02 | |||||||
| Lucic–Backlund–Bennett | 0:460.00–0.10 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 3:350.33–0.05 | 0:440.03–0.00 | 1:370.17–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 2:480.16–0.05 | |||||||
| Nordstrom–Leivo–Ryan | 3:540.20–0.00 | 1:590.12–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:340.01–0.00 | 0:490.07–0.00 | |||||||||
| Lucic–Nordstrom–Ryan | 2:270.00–0.01 | 0:560.10–0.00 | 0:560.10–0.00 | 2:280.00–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Backlund–Leivo–Bennett | 1:340.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.53 | 1:210.00–0.12 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Gaudreau–Monahan–Mangiapane | 1:080.17–0.00 | 1:080.17–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Tanev–Hanifin | 3:100.29–0.07 | 6:360.34–0.30 | 1:450.00–0.01 | 1:310.05–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:030.03–0.00 | 5:330.29–0.00 | 5:330.36–0.23 | 2:590.05–0.15 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 1:070.03–0.00 | |||
| Giordano–Andersson | 8:350.38–0.48 | 1:130.04–0.00 | 3:150.13–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.07 | 7:130.17–0.24 | 5:250.08–0.31 | 0:320.00–0.11 | 0:550.01–0.00 | 0:390.47–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.02 | ||||
| Nesterov–Välimäki | 1:300.12–0.10 | 2:150.29–0.00 | 3:050.07–0.09 | 3:520.38–0.53 | 2:550.17–0.20 | 2:560.33–0.50 | 4:490.28–0.00 | 0:470.07–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.10 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CGYTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake MuzzinTOR | 31 | 24:06 | 0:47 | 1:51 | 1 | 6 |
 Justin HollTOR | 29 | 22:38 | 0:47 | 1:51 | 1 | 3 |
 Mark GiordanoCGY | 28 | 22:35 | 0:48 | 1:57 | 4 | 3 |
 Johnny GaudreauCGY | 23 | 22:22 | 0:58 | 2:19 | 7 | 3 |
 Sean MonahanCGY | 25 | 22:06 | 0:53 | 1:39 | 8 | 3 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 28 | 21:11 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 5 | 3 |
 Rasmus AnderssonCGY | 26 | 21:07 | 0:49 | 1:49 | 4 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 28 | 21:02 | 0:45 | 1:40 | 5 | 1 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 26 | 20:57 | 0:48 | 1:56 | 0 | 6 |
 Chris TanevCGY | 25 | 20:40 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 4 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 27 | 20:03 | 0:45 | 2:10 | 1 | 6 |
 Matthew TkachukCGY | 23 | 20:02 | 0:52 | 1:41 | 6 | 1 |
 Noah HanifinCGY | 25 | 20:00 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 4 | 5 |
 Elias LindholmCGY | 25 | 19:51 | 0:48 | 1:54 | 7 | 3 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 23 | 18:45 | 0:49 | 2:03 | 1 | 3 |
 Ilya MikheyevTOR | 22 | 18:25 | 0:50 | 1:11 | 4 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 20 | 17:21 | 0:52 | 1:42 | 5 | 2 |
 Andrew MangiapaneCGY | 21 | 16:19 | 0:47 | 1:54 | 3 | 2 |
 Zach BogosianTOR | 22 | 15:46 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 4 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 15:41 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 5 | 0 |
 Juuso VälimäkiCGY | 21 | 15:40 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 0 | 4 |
 Dominik SimonCGY | 18 | 14:32 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 3 | 1 |
 Nikita NesterovCGY | 19 | 14:22 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 0 | 5 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 20 | 13:36 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 0 | 1 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 21 | 13:35 | 0:39 | 1:33 | 0 | 3 |
 Mikko LehtonenTOR | 16 | 13:03 | 0:49 | 2:22 | 6 | 1 |
 Sam BennettCGY | 19 | 12:32 | 0:40 | 1:06 | 0 | 1 |
 Milan LucicCGY | 19 | 11:58 | 0:38 | 1:07 | 0 | 4 |
 Jimmy VeseyTOR | 16 | 11:18 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 1 | 0 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 14 | 10:43 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 4 | 1 |
 Derek RyanCGY | 15 | 10:35 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 1 | 4 |
 Travis BoydTOR | 13 | 10:16 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 4 | 1 |
 Josh LeivoCGY | 13 | 10:12 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Joakim NordstromCGY | 14 | 9:51 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 1 | 5 |
 Joey AndersonTOR | 13 | 9:36 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 2 | 0 |
 Wayne SimmondsTOR | 15 | 9:25 | 0:38 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |