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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 3, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ryan–Larkin–FabbriNamestnikov–Mantha–HiroseFilppula–Nielsen–GagnerHelm–Glendening–ErneNemeth–HronekMerrill–DjoosStaal–StecherStaal–HronekNemeth–StecherStaal–Merrill
Stamkos–Palat–Point0:460.00–0.000:310.05–0.033:260.10–0.101:380.00–0.093:560.10–0.041:050.00–0.012:400.25–0.110:360.02–0.000:470.00–0.05
Killorn–Johnson–Cirelli5:550.17–0.120:470.00–0.001:340.04–0.003:400.22–0.031:070.00–0.101:190.00–0.04
Coleman–Goodrow–Gourde5:570.22–0.100:580.01–0.002:500.15–0.102:340.00–0.001:540.07–0.00
Maroon–Johnson–Joseph2:420.01–0.161:050.00–0.000:490.00–0.161:060.06–0.00
Maroon–Gourde–Joseph0:300.17–0.000:420.01–0.021:360.18–0.02
Coleman–Goodrow–Joseph1:060.21–0.000:330.12–0.001:560.19–0.00
Killorn–Maroon–Joseph1:010.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.001:010.00–0.00
Maroon–Coleman–Joseph1:090.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Maroon–Stamkos–Joseph1:040.00–0.021:040.00–0.02
McDonagh–Cernak7:280.22–0.140:530.00–0.003:010.07–0.104:300.21–0.042:220.06–0.00
Sergachev–Foote0:360.10–0.061:440.00–0.041:200.17–0.002:320.01–0.220:540.10–0.002:330.00–0.162:410.38–0.121:080.00–0.04
Hedman–Rutta1:330.04–0.003:080.13–0.080:400.00–0.053:150.12–0.021:590.09–0.011:130.05–0.05
Schenn–Sergachev1:030.13–0.032:310.01–0.011:210.12–0.061:450.13–0.032:030.01–0.05
Hedman–Foote1:330.02–0.041:480.02–0.04
McDonagh–Foote0:350.00–0.081:030.00–0.080:320.16–0.00
Schenn–Hedman0:460.01–0.000:300.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:580.01–0.00
Sergachev–Rutta1:360.00–0.001:000.00–0.000:310.02–0.00
Hedman–Cernak0:300.00–0.00
McDonagh–Schenn0:400.00–0.040:330.00–0.000:330.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPalat FPoint FStamkos FGoodrow FColeman FGourde FKillorn FJohnson FCirelli FJoseph FMaroon FSchenn DSergachev DMcDonagh DCernak DRutta DHedman DFoote DVasilevskiy GGlendening FHelm FErne FLarkin FFabbri FRyan FHirose FMantha FNamestnikov FFilppula FGagner FNielsen FStaal DStecher DHronek DNemeth DMerrill DDjoos DGreiss GPickard G
TBLDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jon MerrillDET2422:180:561:3842
Filip HronekDET2422:120:561:2552
Victor HedmanTBL2121:321:021:4224
Patrik NemethDET2421:160:532:0216
Ryan McDonaghTBL1820:111:073:1614
Marc StaalDET2420:010:501:5104
Mikhail SergachevTBL2319:370:511:4912
Alex KillornTBL2018:470:561:4702
Steven StamkosTBL2318:360:491:4425
Anthony CirelliTBL2417:360:441:4926
Christian DjoosDET2117:040:491:1432
Erik CernakTBL1816:370:551:2735
Dylan LarkinDET1816:280:551:2731
Brayden PointTBL1916:220:521:3621
Sam GagnerDET1916:160:511:3060
Yanni GourdeTBL1916:130:511:3533
Troy StecherDET2316:130:421:2711
Vladislav NamestnikovDET1916:030:511:2430
Bobby RyanDET1715:590:561:2142
Mathieu JosephTBL1915:560:501:3131
Ondrej PalatTBL2115:280:441:1222
Blake ColemanTBL1915:280:491:0733
Tyler JohnsonTBL1915:210:481:4941
Robby FabbriDET1615:120:572:2232
Luke GlendeningDET2314:480:391:0317
Anthony ManthaDET1714:290:511:2430
Frans NielsenDET1814:200:481:2220
Barclay GoodrowTBL1714:120:501:1432
Darren HelmDET2314:120:371:0417
Patrick MaroonTBL1813:490:461:3131
Taro HiroseDET1313:401:031:4530
Jan RuttaTBL1613:280:511:3106
Valtteri FilppulaDET1713:140:471:2030
Cal FooteTBL1312:280:581:5010
Adam ErneDET1711:410:411:1013
Luke SchennTBL1610:190:391:0010