Wed, Feb 17, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.
49%
9%
10%
32%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 26:09 | 0.02 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:32 | 0.13 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:05 | 0.00 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:11 | 0.29 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:36 | 0.09 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:29 | 0.19 | 78.0% | +23.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 17:26 | 0.73 | 74.6% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.15 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.08 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:27 | 0.31 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.06 | 18.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.08 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.00 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.00 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.15 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.10 | 44.9% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:11 | 0.00 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:13 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.85 | +0.8 | 58:18 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:48 | 0.29 | 57.7% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:37 | 0.08 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 22:19 | 0.07 | 71.2% | +50.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:00 | 0.00 | 56.8% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:29 | 0.01 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:24 | 0.14 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.25 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:15 | 0.18 | 67.2% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:01 | 0.35 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:37 | 0.48 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 0.04 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.02 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.05 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.17 | 46.2% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:17 | 0.21 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | 0.23 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:55 | 0.11 | 87.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:31 | 0.15 | 66.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.39 | +1.4 | 60:00 |