Sun, Feb 21, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Montréal Canadiens 2, Ottawa Senators 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 85% of the time.
80%
9%
OTT winsMTL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Toffoli–Gallagher–Danault | Anderson–Drouin–Suzuki | Tatar–Armia–Kotkaniemi | Byron–Anderson–Suzuki | Perry–Byron–Evans | Perry–Armia–Kotkaniemi | Weber–Chiarot | Petry–Edmundson | Mete–Romanov | Petry–Mete | Petry–Romanov | Edmundson–Mete | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dadonov–Paul–White | 2:270.00–0.04 | 1:490.07–0.08 | 1:150.05–0.02 | 1:390.03–0.03 | 1:050.00–0.03 | 3:540.00–0.07 | 3:240.10–0.11 | 0:370.02–0.00 | 0:480.05–0.02 | |||
| Brown–Norris–Tkachuk | 5:380.09–0.19 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 4:400.23–0.16 | 2:270.05–0.05 | ||||||||
| Stepan–Batherson–Stützle | 0:550.00–0.07 | 1:010.20–0.00 | 2:490.02–0.06 | 1:240.11–0.02 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 3:130.11–0.02 | 3:130.22–0.14 | |||||
| Haley–Watson–Tierney | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 1:400.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Watson–Tierney–Brown | 1:100.01–0.06 | |||||||||||
| Tierney–Batherson–Stützle | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.04 | ||||||||||
| Brown–White–Tkachuk | 0:330.00–0.06 | 0:550.00–0.09 | ||||||||||
| Watson–Norris–Tkachuk | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Coburn–Zaitsev | 6:010.11–0.15 | 1:090.07–0.00 | 1:200.03–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.03 | 6:390.16–0.18 | 2:470.05–0.04 | 2:490.16–0.00 | |||||
| Reilly–Zub | 1:240.05–0.08 | 2:330.27–0.11 | 3:180.07–0.05 | 2:300.10–0.05 | 2:460.00–0.01 | 5:150.17–0.17 | 2:120.24–0.10 | 0:510.10–0.02 | ||||
| Gudbranson–Brannstrom | 0:420.00–0.02 | 1:040.11–0.00 | 1:280.02–0.03 | 2:540.04–0.08 | 0:460.00–0.16 | 3:460.02–0.02 | 1:560.16–0.06 | 1:060.00–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.03 | |||
| Gudbranson–Reilly | 2:190.01–0.05 | 0:560.00–0.02 | 1:460.01–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.03 | ||||||||
| Gudbranson–Zaitsev | 0:580.07–0.03 | 0:350.07–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.03 | |||||||||
| Zaitsev–Brannstrom | 1:040.00–0.06 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 28 | 25:32 | 0:55 | 1:33 | 3 | 4 | |
| 25 | 25:05 | 1:00 | 2:36 | 4 | 4 | |
| 27 | 24:15 | 0:54 | 1:35 | 6 | 3 | |
| 27 | 23:59 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 4 | 3 | |
| 27 | 23:39 | 0:53 | 1:32 | 1 | 7 | |
| 24 | 22:11 | 0:55 | 1:57 | 5 | 5 | |
| 25 | 21:49 | 0:52 | 1:46 | 4 | 3 | |
| 26 | 20:24 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 5 | 1 | |
| 27 | 20:11 | 0:45 | 2:04 | 5 | 3 | |
| 30 | 20:07 | 0:40 | 1:15 | 2 | 5 | |
| 24 | 19:15 | 0:48 | 1:48 | 0 | 4 | |
| 24 | 18:55 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 3 | 5 | |
| 24 | 18:19 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 5 | 0 | |
| 26 | 18:17 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 2 | 3 | |
| 22 | 17:59 | 0:49 | 2:06 | 4 | 6 | |
| 25 | 17:58 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 3 | 6 | |
| 22 | 17:50 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 7 | 1 | |
| 27 | 17:48 | 0:40 | 1:52 | 3 | 2 | |
| 25 | 17:23 | 0:42 | 1:36 | 1 | 5 | |
| 20 | 16:23 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 4 | 3 | |
| 22 | 16:22 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 1 | 6 | |
| 22 | 15:33 | 0:42 | 1:38 | 1 | 1 | |
| 20 | 15:33 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 1 | 6 | |
| 20 | 15:25 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 6 | 1 | |
| 18 | 14:56 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 1 | 2 | |
| 18 | 14:40 | 0:49 | 1:45 | 1 | 4 | |
| 18 | 14:35 | 0:49 | 1:30 | 1 | 2 | |
| 16 | 12:45 | 0:48 | 1:58 | 0 | 2 | |
| 20 | 11:14 | 0:34 | 1:19 | 2 | 7 | |
| 16 | 10:59 | 0:41 | 1:01 | 2 | 4 | |
| 15 | 10:50 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 0 | 1 | |
| 15 | 10:19 | 0:41 | 1:02 | 3 | 1 | |
| 15 | 10:18 | 0:41 | 1:02 | 1 | 2 | |
| 16 | 9:29 | 0:36 | 1:31 | 2 | 2 | |
| 13 | 9:11 | 0:42 | 0:59 | 3 | 1 | |
| 8 | 3:32 | 0:27 | 0:46 | 1 | 1 |