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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 5, 2021·United Center, Chicago

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Chicago Blackhawks 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.

CHI winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CHI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Palat–Point–CirelliKillorn–Stamkos–GourdeJohnson–Coleman–GoodrowMaroon–Joseph–VolkovMcDonagh–CernakHedman–FooteSchenn–SergachevHedman–SergachevSergachev–FooteHedman–CernakSchenn–HedmanMcDonagh–SchennMcDonagh–Foote
Kane–DeBrincat–Suter1:310.00–0.244:100.05–0.171:110.04–0.074:370.11–0.230:510.00–0.220:530.00–0.001:200.05–0.02
Kubalik–Hagel–Kampf2:220.06–0.141:310.06–0.031:320.00–0.060:370.13–0.001:180.00–0.111:450.01–0.002:170.11–0.03
Soderberg–Janmark–Kurashev0:510.00–0.000:590.00–0.041:470.00–0.110:450.00–0.001:520.00–0.001:280.00–0.14
Carpenter–Wallmark–Highmore1:110.02–0.000:300.10–0.001:320.00–0.050:500.00–0.240:570.00–0.051:180.02–0.240:510.10–0.000:430.00–0.00
Kane–DeBrincat–Kurashev0:380.02–0.002:010.00–0.051:550.02–0.330:410.00–0.00
Soderberg–Janmark–Suter0:390.00–0.001:100.02–0.000:540.02–0.000:550.00–0.00
Soderberg–Kane–DeBrincat1:330.02–0.161:300.02–0.11
Kubalik–Wallmark–Hagel1:080.09–0.170:470.09–0.10
Janmark–Kampf–Kurashev0:500.00–0.020:560.00–0.02
Kubalik–Janmark–Suter0:480.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Murphy–Zadorov4:180.09–0.112:260.05–0.002:440.00–0.061:470.14–0.002:540.04–0.022:120.00–0.002:540.10–0.032:100.14–0.00
Keith–Mitchell2:140.02–0.712:510.10–0.200:340.04–0.001:450.00–0.332:110.11–0.233:000.02–0.821:400.10–0.090:400.00–0.020:300.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
de Haan–Boqvist0:590.09–0.102:010.05–0.002:370.00–0.161:080.00–0.083:590.09–0.281:370.00–0.061:010.05–0.05
Keith–Boqvist1:060.02–0.110:530.00–0.051:000.15–0.001:440.02–0.16
Keith–Murphy1:060.00–0.190:340.00–0.050:320.00–0.000:500.00–0.050:390.00–0.00
Zadorov–Mitchell0:380.02–0.001:260.00–0.020:380.02–0.000:360.00–0.000:560.00–0.02
Zadorov–Boqvist0:430.00–0.070:460.00–0.000:400.00–0.07
Keith–de Haan0:590.00–0.040:360.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndKubalik FHagel FKampf FDeBrincat FSuter FKane FKurashev FSoderberg FJanmark FCarpenter FHighmore FWallmark FKeith DMitchell DBoqvist Dde Haan DMurphy DZadorov DSubban GPalat FPoint FCirelli FJohnson FGoodrow FColeman FKillorn FGourde FStamkos FJoseph FMaroon FVolkov FFoote DHedman DMcDonagh DCernak DSchenn DSergachev DMcElhinney G
CHITBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3129:590:582:0980
Duncan KeithCHI3125:590:501:3606
Connor MurphyCHI2925:290:531:56211
Ryan McDonaghTBL2824:570:532:3125
Patrick KaneCHI2223:101:032:2362
Mikhail SergachevTBL2622:370:521:5650
Alex DeBrincatCHI2422:130:561:2672
Brayden PointTBL2121:431:022:0480
Carl SoderbergCHI2521:320:521:3144
Nikita ZadorovCHI2421:080:531:5125
Steven StamkosTBL2621:020:491:5685
Erik CernakTBL2720:510:461:2154
Adam BoqvistCHI2519:280:471:0361
Anthony CirelliTBL2419:110:481:4163
Alex KillornTBL2619:100:441:4541
Ondrej PalatTBL2018:480:562:2360
Yanni GourdeTBL2318:420:491:4242
David KampfCHI2717:140:381:14110
Mattias JanmarkCHI2317:110:451:4104
Pius SuterCHI2116:500:481:3712
Barclay GoodrowTBL2316:040:421:2623
Dominik KubalikCHI2115:530:451:2912
Blake ColemanTBL2214:370:401:1621
Ian MitchellCHI1914:260:461:1502
Tyler JohnsonTBL1613:390:511:4331
Ryan CarpenterCHI1613:150:502:1244
Brandon HagelCHI2113:150:381:4012
Philipp KurashevCHI1512:480:511:3912
Calvin de HaanCHI1612:290:471:1022
Cal FooteTBL1510:450:430:5620
Luke SchennTBL139:540:461:2910
Patrick MaroonTBL119:170:511:4030
Mathieu JosephTBL119:070:501:4020
Lucas WallmarkCHI128:550:451:1113
Alexander VolkovTBL107:390:461:4020
Matthew HighmoreCHI95:430:381:0421