Fri, Mar 19, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Calgary Flames 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.
70%
8%
14%
TOR winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:31 | 0.03 | 35.3% | +15.2 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:47 | 0.04 | 42.1% | +21.7 |
 Noah HanifinD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 22:36 | 0.05 | 37.1% | +15.2 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:58 | 0.01 | 37.9% | +35.5 |
 Elias LindholmC · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:02 | 0.02 | 9.0% | +16.0 |
 Sean MonahanC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.10 | 16.9% | 0.0 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:54 | 0.14 | 46.0% | +21.7 |
 Andrew MangiapaneLW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.06 | 62.6% | 0.0 |
 Milan LucicLW · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.31 | 63.7% | +13.8 |
 Sam BennettC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.11 | 58.9% | 0.0 |
 Johnny GaudreauLW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.00 | 14.0% | 0.0 |
 Nikita NesterovD · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.00 | 8.5% | +16.0 |
 Brett RitchieRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.12 | 16.5% | 0.0 |
 Matthew TkachukLW · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.03 | 9.6% | +16.0 |
 Derek RyanC · #10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:42 | 0.31 | 76.0% | +13.8 |
 Juuso VälimäkiD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 12:13 | 0.01 | 25.5% | 0.0 |
 Dillon DubeC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 8.2% | 0.0 |
 Josh LeivoLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:58 | 0.00 | 59.1% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Markstrom#25 | W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.88 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26:45 | 0.05 | 50.6% | +14.3 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 24:10 | 0.37 | 69.8% | +22.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:34 | 0.56 | 81.1% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:21 | 0.06 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.41 | 61.4% | 0.0 |
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.00 | 89.4% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:39 | 0.32 | 66.2% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.07 | 57.7% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.04 | 83.2% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:55 | 0.04 | 71.0% | +15.1 |
 Joe ThorntonC · #97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.04 | 95.3% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:24 | 0.04 | 25.7% | +15.1 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 12:16 | 0.00 | 34.0% | +15.1 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:14 | 0.27 | 38.5% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:23 | 0.00 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
 Alex GalchenyukC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 11:19 | 0.19 | 58.9% | 0.0 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.23 | 64.2% | +14.3 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:41 | 0.18 | 61.3% | +14.3 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | L | 18 | 14 | 4 | .778 | 1.33 | −2.7 | 58:02 |