Thu, Mar 25, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.
19%
69%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 25:46 | 0.25 | 70.5% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:06 | 0.12 | 70.1% | +22.1 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:43 | 0.83 | 60.2% | +47.2 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 24:04 | 0.67 | 61.8% | +47.2 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:36 | 0.37 | 61.1% | +47.2 |
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.04 | 60.0% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.25 | 71.6% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:25 | 0.76 | 67.7% | 0.0 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.08 | 58.0% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.10 | 62.4% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:41 | 0.56 | 67.9% | +22.1 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.03 | 63.6% | 0.0 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:34 | 0.14 | 56.4% | +35.3 |
 Alex GalchenyukC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:41 | 0.16 | 73.0% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.06 | 35.1% | +35.3 |
 Joe ThorntonC · #97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:43 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #65 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:40 | 0.65 | 83.0% | +22.1 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:53 | 0.03 | 79.1% | 0.0 |
 Jack Campbell#36 | W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.26 | +1.3 | 64:42 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 31:18 | 0.04 | 33.8% | 0.0 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:56 | 0.03 | 34.2% | 0.0 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:10 | 0.79 | 35.5% | 0.0 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 0.01 | 16.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:01 | 0.11 | 19.9% | 0.0 |
 Mike ReillyD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.00 | 15.7% | 0.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.30 | 15.7% | +18.0 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 17:57 | 0.59 | 30.6% | 0.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.24 | 39.3% | 0.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:09 | 0.23 | 38.4% | 0.0 |
 Evgenii DadonovLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.34 | 27.8% | 0.0 |
 Chris TierneyC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.01 | 41.1% | +18.0 |
 Colin WhiteC · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.06 | 50.7% | 0.0 |
 Alex FormentonLW · #59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:44 | 0.14 | 37.6% | +37.7 |
 Joshua BrownD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 12:31 | 0.00 | 48.9% | 0.0 |
 Ryan DzingelC · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.12 | 44.8% | +37.7 |
 Braydon CoburnD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:57 | 0.16 | 49.8% | 0.0 |
 Clark BishopC · #62 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:53 | 0.10 | 41.8% | +37.7 |
 Anton Forsberg#31 | O | 41 | 38 | 3 | .927 | 5.10 | +2.1 | 64:42 |