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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 25, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Simmonds–Marner–MatthewsTavares–Galchenyuk–NylanderThornton–Spezza–KerfootHyman–Engvall–MikheyevSpezza–Marner–MatthewsTavares–Hyman–NylanderHyman–Matthews–MikheyevGalchenyuk–Engvall–MikheyevBrodie–RiellyMuzzin–HollBogosian–DermottBrodie–Holl
Brown–Paul–White6:300.00–0.211:260.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:410.00–0.003:510.00–0.004:290.01–0.051:420.00–0.07
Dadonov–Norris–Tkachuk2:420.22–0.212:420.01–0.550:490.00–0.121:210.14–0.560:440.11–0.061:060.00–0.003:260.35–0.912:550.12–0.132:570.00–0.550:470.00–0.00
Tierney–Batherson–Stützle0:540.00–0.004:100.20–0.392:100.11–0.091:270.00–0.205:370.15–0.363:300.23–0.37
Dzingel–Bishop–Formenton0:410.02–0.090:590.00–0.022:080.12–0.031:550.00–0.350:360.00–0.002:320.10–0.002:080.11–0.242:070.15–0.25
Norris–Batherson–Tkachuk0:300.00–0.000:520.00–0.00
Dadonov–Formenton–Norris0:460.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Chabot–Zaitsev7:420.22–0.403:220.20–0.581:110.00–0.172:020.14–0.561:390.11–0.060:380.04–0.020:400.00–0.008:320.45–0.954:410.16–0.164:390.27–0.690:450.00–0.09
Reilly–Zub4:160.10–0.103:340.01–0.092:110.01–0.030:330.00–0.070:460.00–0.000:320.00–0.003:480.00–0.005:240.09–0.243:590.04–0.31
Coburn–Brown0:550.00–0.002:440.22–0.112:550.01–0.470:310.00–0.002:470.15–0.033:090.12–0.242:270.28–0.31
Brown–Chabot0:420.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:590.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndPaul FBrown FWhite FTkachuk FNorris FDadonov FStützle FBatherson FTierney FDzingel FFormenton FBishop FZaitsev DChabot DZub DReilly DBrown DCoburn DForsberg GMarner FSimmonds FMatthews FGalchenyuk FNylander FTavares FKerfoot FSpezza FThornton FHyman FEngvall FMikheyev FRielly DBrodie DHoll DMuzzin DBogosian DDermott DCampbell G
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT3231:180:592:0834
Nikita ZaitsevOTT2725:560:582:5914
Morgan RiellyTOR3025:460:521:2974
TJ BrodieTOR3025:060:501:4645
Auston MatthewsTOR2724:430:551:4063
Mitch MarnerTOR2824:040:521:2572
Justin HollTOR3020:360:411:0733
Josh NorrisOTT2720:100:451:1834
Artem ZubOTT2420:100:501:5415
Nick PaulOTT2920:010:411:4556
Mike ReillyOTT2819:500:431:2546
Jake MuzzinTOR2719:250:431:2433
William NylanderTOR2319:180:501:3751
John TavaresTOR2318:250:481:2852
Connor BrownOTT2718:190:411:2734
Brady TkachukOTT2617:570:411:4834
Drake BathersonOTT2517:110:411:0845
Tim StützleOTT2116:090:461:2144
Wayne SimmondsTOR2216:090:441:2533
Evgenii DadonovOTT2116:000:461:4134
Zach BogosianTOR2215:080:411:0442
Chris TierneyOTT2214:540:411:2125
Zach HymanTOR1814:410:491:2814
Travis DermottTOR2014:330:441:0633
Jason SpezzaTOR2113:340:391:2665
Colin WhiteOTT2212:550:351:2724
Alex FormentonOTT2112:440:361:2015
Alex GalchenyukTOR1712:410:451:1050
Alexander KerfootTOR1912:410:401:2540
Joshua BrownOTT1912:310:401:1513
Ryan DzingelOTT1812:110:411:1333
Joe ThorntonTOR1711:430:411:1071
Braydon CoburnOTT1610:570:411:1512
Ilya MikheyevTOR1710:400:381:0602
Clark BishopOTT148:530:381:0312
Pierre EngvallTOR138:530:411:0901