Thu, Mar 25, 2021·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Dallas Stars 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 80% of the time.
75%
14%
DAL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26:12 | 0.08 | 43.7% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:03 | 0.04 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:52 | 0.03 | 43.6% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:55 | 0.16 | 38.8% | +35.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.12 | 23.2% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:28 | 0.16 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:17 | 0.08 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:04 | 0.66 | 51.3% | +56.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.30 | 25.9% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:19 | 0.44 | 68.8% | +56.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.00 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.00 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.05 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.00 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:15 | 0.15 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:46 | 0.00 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:26 | 0.01 | 23.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 41 | 37 | 4 | .902 | 4.40 | +0.4 | 58:56 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25:32 | 0.08 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:19 | 0.36 | 55.4% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:25 | 0.36 | 59.8% | +27.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19:38 | 0.66 | 45.5% | +65.9 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.36 | 38.9% | +93.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:02 | 0.46 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.07 | 63.2% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.22 | 44.1% | +93.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.02 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.41 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.32 | 85.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:31 | 0.36 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:09 | 0.37 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.03 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:58 | 0.06 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:30 | 0.00 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:54 | 0.02 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:34 | 0.26 | 52.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.28 | −0.7 | 59:40 |