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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 25, 2021·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Dallas Stars 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 80% of the time.

DAL winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Palat–PointKillorn–Johnson–CirelliColeman–Goodrow–GourdeMaroon–Gourde–JosephKillorn–Stamkos–CirelliMaroon–Point–JosephPalat–Point–CirelliMaroon–Joseph–CirelliMaroon–Johnson–PalatJohnson–Coleman–GoodrowKillorn–Joseph–CirelliMaroon–Stamkos–PointPalat–Gourde–JosephSergachev–FooteHedman–RuttaSchenn–BorgmanHedman–FooteSchenn–SergachevSergachev–BorgmanSergachev–RuttaFoote–Borgman
Pavelski–Hintz–Robertson0:560.12–0.123:290.12–0.214:360.03–0.141:050.11–0.000:410.11–0.000:380.00–0.007:190.23–0.415:150.23–0.580:310.00–0.00
Comeau–Cogliano–Faksa7:340.55–0.160:540.15–0.000:560.00–0.002:160.00–0.364:580.70–0.153:250.02–0.010:430.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Benn–Dickinson–Gurianov5:110.36–0.151:560.02–0.010:460.22–0.080:310.00–0.000:400.09–0.000:360.00–0.003:450.29–0.033:570.35–0.131:390.02–0.00
Dowling–Gardner–L'Esperance0:490.00–0.161:250.03–0.000:360.15–0.000:440.00–0.001:590.18–0.001:120.00–0.161:210.11–0.00
Comeau–Cogliano–Dickinson0:560.35–0.150:310.06–0.000:310.06–0.000:320.07–0.00
Comeau–Faksa–Gardner0:510.00–0.040:510.00–0.04
Klingberg–Lindell2:570.59–0.265:280.28–0.112:130.01–0.021:000.09–0.090:470.18–0.000:370.00–0.003:500.28–0.187:190.73–0.692:370.10–0.000:570.00–0.01
Oleksiak–Heiskanen5:340.28–0.171:480.00–0.221:060.02–0.041:130.11–0.000:380.15–0.000:540.08–0.000:310.00–0.145:270.13–0.534:110.47–0.153:470.08–0.010:390.00–0.00
Pysyk–Hanley0:320.00–0.000:550.18–0.124:500.06–0.100:310.20–0.000:380.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:410.00–0.006:170.28–0.092:550.21–0.01
Lindell–Heiskanen1:460.03–0.160:330.09–0.000:430.00–0.000:590.09–0.001:590.02–0.160:340.01–0.000:330.00–0.00
Klingberg–Hanley0:350.00–0.020:460.00–0.02
Hanley–Heiskanen0:300.15–0.000:340.00–0.001:100.15–0.000:350.00–0.00
Pysyk–Lindell0:310.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPavelski FRobertson FHintz FBenn FDickinson FGurianov FFaksa FComeau FCogliano FGardner FL'Esperance FDowling FOleksiak DHeiskanen DKlingberg DLindell DHanley DPysyk DOettinger GGoodrow FColeman FGourde FJohnson FKillorn FCirelli FPoint FStamkos FPalat FJoseph FMaroon FFoote DSergachev DHedman DRutta DSchenn DBorgman DVasilevskiy G
DALTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevTBL3026:120:521:30110
Esa LindellDAL3425:320:451:2362
Miro HeiskanenDAL3125:190:491:3886
Victor HedmanTBL3125:030:481:5128
Cal FooteTBL2823:520:511:37110
Jan RuttaTBL2922:550:471:3829
John KlingbergDAL2822:250:481:4162
Anthony CirelliTBL2420:130:512:0937
Jason RobertsonDAL2619:380:451:4181
Brayden PointTBL2319:280:511:2434
Joe PavelskiDAL2719:190:431:4791
Steven StamkosTBL2619:170:451:2435
Ondrej PalatTBL2419:040:481:2434
Radek FaksaDAL2519:020:461:3154
Blake ComeauDAL2418:130:461:2553
Roope HintzDAL2517:200:421:2790
Jamie OleksiakDAL2516:570:411:3036
Alex KillornTBL2216:430:461:2335
Yanni GourdeTBL2316:190:431:2424
Jason DickinsonDAL2416:180:411:0261
Denis GurianovDAL2415:390:391:1271
Jamie BennDAL2415:310:391:0352
Tyler JohnsonTBL2115:140:441:1526
Andrew CoglianoDAL2415:090:381:1753
Joel HanleyDAL2415:020:381:2041
Barclay GoodrowTBL1914:180:451:1005
Blake ColemanTBL1714:050:501:1003
Mark PysykDAL2012:580:391:2031
Andreas BorgmanTBL1711:470:421:1611
Mathieu JosephTBL1811:150:381:1021
Patrick MaroonTBL1610:460:401:0522
Luke SchennTBL1610:260:391:0101
Justin DowlingDAL149:300:411:0910
Rhett GardnerDAL138:540:411:0112
Joel L'EsperanceDAL127:340:380:5610