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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 3, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Larkin–Fabbri–ZadinaFilppula–Namestnikov–SmithHelm–Glendening–ErneNielsen–Helm–ErneGlendening–Mantha–RasmussenMantha–Smith–RasmussenFilppula–Nielsen–NamestnikovGlendening–Mantha–LarkinNamestnikov–Mantha–RasmussenMantha–Larkin–FabbriHelm–Namestnikov–GlendeningNemeth–MerrillDeKeyser–HronekStaal–StecherNemeth–StecherStaal–MerrillStaal–HronekNemeth–DeKeyserMerrill–Hronek
Johnson–Palat–Point1:310.01–0.002:100.01–0.100:400.00–0.001:170.10–0.072:130.23–0.004:130.01–0.071:470.00–0.154:240.34–0.030:500.00–0.00
Killorn–Stamkos–Cirelli1:030.00–0.002:260.05–0.151:000.10–0.001:140.11–0.000:380.00–0.031:520.00–0.220:300.00–0.005:000.21–0.003:490.05–0.390:420.00–0.03
Coleman–Goodrow–Gourde5:080.61–0.160:380.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:560.04–0.101:390.07–0.104:060.49–0.230:450.04–0.000:340.00–0.00
Maroon–Joseph–Colton2:280.48–0.151:420.09–0.240:480.00–0.002:480.09–0.001:230.48–0.151:460.09–0.040:460.00–0.00
Palat–Coleman–Gourde0:380.00–0.12
Hedman–Foote1:290.17–0.003:190.06–0.150:550.00–0.000:500.00–0.040:350.13–0.000:400.09–0.000:420.00–0.001:060.04–0.103:220.15–0.104:100.26–0.202:250.13–0.050:470.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
McDonagh–Sergachev5:520.45–0.160:400.00–0.000:520.00–0.001:390.13–0.001:070.00–0.001:550.01–0.004:030.39–0.163:010.18–0.001:120.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Schenn–Hedman1:070.00–0.150:480.10–0.002:370.10–0.000:580.00–0.15
McDonagh–Borgman0:340.09–0.051:310.08–0.001:410.00–0.001:330.17–0.00
Schenn–Borgman0:450.48–0.000:440.00–0.151:310.00–0.000:420.48–0.220:440.00–0.15
Sergachev–Borgman0:440.05–0.000:400.10–0.001:180.05–0.000:380.00–0.14
Sergachev–Foote0:390.00–0.100:450.00–0.001:010.00–0.16
Hedman–Sergachev1:040.00–0.00
Schenn–Sergachev0:380.02–0.000:380.02–0.00
McDonagh–Hedman0:470.03–0.000:330.00–0.00
McDonagh–Foote0:300.00–0.07
Foote–Borgman0:380.00–0.030:520.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJoseph FMaroon FColton FKillorn FCirelli FStamkos FGoodrow FColeman FGourde FJohnson FPalat FPoint FSchenn DHedman DBorgman DFoote DMcDonagh DSergachev DVasilevskiy GGlendening FHelm FErne FRasmussen FMantha FSmith FZadina FFabbri FLarkin FFilppula FNielsen FNamestnikov FNemeth DMerrill DHronek DDeKeyser DStaal DStecher DGreiss G
TBLDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2527:121:052:3754
Mikhail SergachevTBL2524:440:591:5131
Filip HronekDET2524:420:591:4945
Jon MerrillDET2122:461:051:5724
Ryan McDonaghTBL2421:390:542:3715
Cal FooteTBL2320:200:531:4633
Patrik NemethDET1819:401:061:4213
Dylan LarkinDET2019:130:581:5151
Michael RasmussenDET1819:091:042:2953
Brayden PointTBL1918:470:591:3141
Anthony CirelliTBL2118:430:531:4253
Danny DeKeyserDET2318:330:481:2414
Luke GlendeningDET2618:320:431:4138
Ondrej PalatTBL1817:380:591:3161
Steven StamkosTBL2117:370:501:5072
Filip ZadinaDET2017:080:511:4971
Tyler JohnsonTBL1916:530:531:3151
Alex KillornTBL2116:370:471:2752
Robby FabbriDET1716:070:571:3741
Anthony ManthaDET1715:360:552:0631
Barclay GoodrowTBL1915:160:481:3514
Yanni GourdeTBL1815:040:501:3941
Adam ErneDET1615:030:562:0231
Marc StaalDET2014:510:451:2225
Blake ColemanTBL1814:070:471:2213
Vladislav NamestnikovDET1813:440:461:1318
Troy StecherDET1913:240:421:2623
Patrick MaroonTBL1412:580:561:3331
Frans NielsenDET1712:360:441:0824
Darren HelmDET1612:180:461:3213
Givani SmithDET1511:510:471:3412
Valtteri FilppulaDET1411:040:471:3814
Andreas BorgmanTBL1410:180:441:2840
Luke SchennTBL159:480:390:5141
Mathieu JosephTBL129:360:481:1521
Ross ColtonTBL138:430:401:0212