Sun, Apr 4, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Detroit Red Wings 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 64% of the time.
26%
11%
12%
51%
TBL winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:13 | 0.05 | 50.6% | +19.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:52 | 0.01 | 37.4% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:15 | 0.02 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:47 | 0.40 | 47.7% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.02 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.12 | 64.4% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.21 | 60.1% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.07 | 61.5% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.00 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:20 | 0.07 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.15 | 83.4% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:56 | 0.00 | 61.3% | +19.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.12 | 36.7% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.01 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.75 | 39.8% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:01 | 0.00 | 76.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:53 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:30 | 0.01 | 46.8% | +7.1 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 1.46 | +0.5 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 24:05 | 0.11 | 23.9% | +1.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:43 | 0.01 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 22:07 | 0.06 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:11 | 0.24 | 96.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:23 | 0.05 | 96.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:12 | 0.14 | 20.7% | +1.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:43 | 0.12 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:23 | 0.04 | 29.4% | +1.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.00 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.30 | 85.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.01 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:49 | 0.07 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.00 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:40 | 0.04 | 88.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.03 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:35 | 0.03 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:19 | 0.08 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:04 | 0.12 | 57.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 17 | 13 | 4 | .765 | 1.37 | −2.6 | 54:23 |