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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 4, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 64% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Glendening–Mantha–RasmussenNielsen–Helm–ErneFilppula–Namestnikov–SmithMantha–Larkin–ZadinaNamestnikov–Glendening–SmithLarkin–Rasmussen–ZadinaFilppula–Mantha–LarkinFilppula–Larkin–ZadinaLarkin–Smith–ZadinaNielsen–Helm–ZadinaHelm–Glendening–ErneNamestnikov–Larkin–ZadinaDeKeyser–HronekStaal–StecherNemeth–MerrillMerrill–DjoosNemeth–DjoosStaal–MerrillNemeth–Hronek
Johnson–Palat–Point1:330.00–0.002:150.00–0.002:020.11–0.001:450.10–0.000:540.08–0.001:220.23–0.000:460.00–0.000:450.00–0.004:130.42–0.004:160.10–0.002:230.00–0.000:540.00–0.010:440.00–0.00
Killorn–Stamkos–Cirelli0:330.00–0.000:570.00–0.001:450.04–0.020:530.00–0.011:130.00–0.000:350.01–0.005:270.05–0.363:060.06–0.080:480.00–0.001:310.03–0.00
Maroon–Joseph–Colton0:360.01–0.074:270.17–0.121:290.00–0.012:000.00–0.001:520.05–0.013:090.09–0.101:010.04–0.021:050.09–0.00
Coleman–Goodrow–Gourde1:570.00–0.151:400.04–0.002:130.05–0.130:540.01–0.001:520.04–0.122:150.03–0.010:430.00–0.151:140.01–0.000:350.00–0.13
Hedman–Foote1:200.01–0.210:550.02–0.100:300.00–0.002:430.13–0.121:020.00–0.002:070.04–0.001:030.00–0.010:460.00–0.005:340.16–0.482:060.06–0.023:040.00–0.251:140.03–0.00
Thomas–Sergachev2:310.00–0.001:410.00–0.002:410.04–0.000:340.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:050.23–0.004:050.23–0.001:320.03–0.002:210.09–0.001:260.01–0.000:440.00–0.00
McDonagh–Schenn0:400.00–0.002:090.11–0.020:560.00–0.001:510.10–0.010:360.08–0.000:320.01–0.001:400.08–0.004:500.18–0.020:450.00–0.001:270.04–0.020:340.00–0.00
McDonagh–Thomas0:360.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:340.00–0.010:420.00–0.130:360.00–0.00
Sergachev–Foote0:350.00–0.000:360.09–0.000:470.00–0.000:360.09–0.00
McDonagh–Sergachev0:470.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
McDonagh–Foote0:300.00–0.060:400.00–0.07
Schenn–Sergachev
McDonagh–Hedman0:550.00–0.000:590.00–0.00
Hedman–Sergachev0:330.03–0.011:020.03–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKillorn FCirelli FStamkos FJohnson FPalat FPoint FGoodrow FColeman FGourde FMaroon FJoseph FColton FThomas DSergachev DFoote DHedman DSchenn DMcDonagh DGibson GRasmussen FMantha FGlendening FNamestnikov FSmith FFilppula FZadina FLarkin FHelm FErne FNielsen FHronek DDeKeyser DNemeth DMerrill DStaal DStecher DDjoos DGreiss G
TBLDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2424:051:001:5671
Ryan McDonaghTBL2322:430:591:5524
Filip HronekDET2522:130:531:4834
Mikhail SergachevTBL2622:070:511:4447
Ondrej PalatTBL1821:111:111:5641
Marc StaalDET2320:520:542:1504
Brayden PointTBL1820:231:081:5641
Jon MerrillDET2320:150:531:3735
Steven StamkosTBL2219:120:522:1584
Dylan LarkinDET2118:470:541:4732
Alex KillornTBL2218:430:511:5684
Filip ZadinaDET1918:420:591:4731
Cal FooteTBL2218:230:501:3410
Anthony CirelliTBL2318:130:481:5064
Anthony ManthaDET2117:290:501:4023
Tyler JohnsonTBL1817:150:581:4121
Luke GlendeningDET2416:480:421:1728
Vladislav NamestnikovDET1916:380:531:3633
Danny DeKeyserDET2416:310:411:1422
Troy StecherDET1916:200:521:3313
Michael RasmussenDET2015:400:471:1341
Adam ErneDET1914:560:471:4032
Valtteri FilppulaDET1714:480:521:2634
Givani SmithDET1714:250:511:2641
Ben ThomasTBL1814:230:481:3424
Darren HelmDET2114:120:411:1816
Blake ColemanTBL1713:490:491:4114
Patrik NemethDET1713:010:461:1612
Frans NielsenDET2212:530:351:0023
Yanni GourdeTBL1512:520:511:4122
Luke SchennTBL1712:400:451:5103
Patrick MaroonTBL1612:380:471:4132
Barclay GoodrowTBL1511:350:461:1714
Mathieu JosephTBL1511:190:451:2632
Ross ColtonTBL1511:040:441:2632
Christian DjoosDET139:300:441:0030