Sat, Apr 10, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 85% of the time.
80%
10%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 27:13 | 0.10 | 35.1% | 0.0 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.04 | 51.3% | 0.0 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:41 | 0.03 | 13.4% | 0.0 |
 Mike ReillyD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:20 | 0.02 | 17.5% | 0.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:51 | 0.22 | 24.6% | +12.9 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 2 | 19:33 | 0.21 | 23.0% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.00 | 18.0% | 0.0 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.21 | 23.9% | +2.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:32 | 0.23 | 44.5% | +40.7 |
 Chris TierneyC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:39 | 0.07 | 42.2% | +12.9 |
 Evgenii DadonovLW · #63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.12 | 57.5% | +12.9 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14:47 | 0.58 | 46.9% | +16.0 |
 Erik BrannstromD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.00 | 62.5% | +14.1 |
 Michael AmadioRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:48 | 0.11 | 41.2% | +26.6 |
 Erik GudbransonD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:40 | 0.04 | 63.5% | 0.0 |
 Clark BishopC · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:16 | 0.00 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
 Ryan DzingelC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:51 | 0.12 | 36.2% | 0.0 |
 Alex FormentonLW · #59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 9:03 | 0.44 | 56.0% | +19.2 |
 Anton Forsberg#31 | L | 37 | 32 | 5 | .865 | 4.40 | −0.6 | 58:23 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:57 | 0.03 | 54.0% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:06 | 0.23 | 66.2% | +12.6 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:45 | 0.00 | 78.4% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.22 | 36.1% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:10 | 0.16 | 71.6% | +2.6 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17:57 | 1.16 | 71.9% | +16.2 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.22 | 73.3% | +78.2 |
 Alex GalchenyukC · #12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 17:37 | 0.77 | 75.1% | +50.6 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 5 | 17:24 | 0.52 | 73.3% | +78.2 |
 Zach BogosianD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.00 | 69.9% | 0.0 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #65 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:30 | 0.21 | 72.2% | +16.2 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:42 | 0.85 | 65.6% | 0.0 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.05 | 81.5% | +13.7 |
 Alexander BarabanovLW · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:37 | 0.10 | 65.9% | 0.0 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:08 | 0.23 | 50.1% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:59 | 0.03 | 42.2% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.00 | 58.1% | 0.0 |
 Joe ThorntonC · #97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:24 | 0.30 | 51.0% | 0.0 |
 Jack Campbell#36 | W | 32 | 27 | 5 | .844 | 2.54 | −2.5 | 59:52 |