Sat, Apr 24, 2021·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Winnipeg Jets 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 96% of the time.
94%
WPG winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:33 | 0.21 | 79.1% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:18 | 0.19 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 21:48 | 0.02 | 78.0% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:26 | 0.01 | 76.3% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 20:13 | 0.90 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:03 | 0.24 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:44 | 1.15 | 33.0% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:31 | 1.60 | 59.4% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:02 | 0.17 | 94.8% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.71 | 36.6% | +0.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:43 | 0.89 | 55.2% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.10 | 59.8% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.01 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:45 | 0.14 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:16 | 0.03 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.00 | 35.9% | +13.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:05 | 0.03 | 59.8% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:00 | 0.28 | 30.7% | +13.9 |
| W | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 2.36 | +1.4 | 60:00 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 26:01 | 0.18 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:30 | 0.14 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:14 | 0.12 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.07 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:17 | 0.00 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:48 | 0.03 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.14 | 71.4% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.14 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.62 | 64.5% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.16 | 69.4% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.04 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.02 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:09 | 0.18 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:08 | 0.25 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:48 | 0.04 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:28 | 0.23 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:38 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 5.28 | +2.3 | 58:42 |