Sat, Apr 24, 2021·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Winnipeg Jets 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 96% of the time.
94%
WPG winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Foligno–Marner–Matthews | Tavares–Galchenyuk–Nylander | Simmonds–Kerfoot–Mikheyev | Thornton–Spezza–Brooks | Muzzin–Holl | Brodie–Rielly | Dermott–Sandin | Rielly–Sandin | Brodie–Dermott | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stastny–Ehlers–Dubois | 1:510.00–0.00 | 3:200.17–0.11 | 0:410.05–0.00 | 3:430.10–0.08 | 2:160.05–0.12 | 4:230.17–0.01 | 0:500.00–0.08 | 0:500.04–0.07 | 1:020.10–0.00 |
| Wheeler–Scheifele–Connor | 4:290.02–0.16 | 1:130.00–0.04 | 2:030.04–0.07 | 0:490.00–0.01 | 6:070.02–0.24 | 1:510.04–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.04 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |
| Thompson–Lewis–Harkins | 2:000.00–0.00 | 1:540.04–0.07 | 1:570.00–0.05 | 0:580.01–0.00 | 0:390.04–0.00 | 1:380.00–0.10 | |||
| Perreault–Copp–Appleton | 1:070.00–0.21 | 0:500.13–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.08 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:480.00–0.29 | 0:500.12–0.09 | |||
| Wheeler–Copp–Connor | 1:010.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Poolman–Morrissey | 4:250.01–0.16 | 1:340.00–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.07 | 1:010.10–0.00 | 4:230.01–0.28 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 2:260.13–0.10 | 1:520.10–0.00 |
| DeMelo–Stanley | 1:010.00–0.00 | 3:160.21–0.03 | 2:370.14–0.17 | 2:470.05–0.03 | 3:000.32–0.00 | 1:580.14–0.16 | 0:330.04–0.07 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |
| Forbort–Pionk | 2:560.00–0.21 | 3:150.17–0.11 | 0:590.04–0.02 | 1:530.00–0.09 | 3:330.17–0.14 | 1:050.04–0.21 | 0:370.00–0.09 | ||
| Morrissey–Pionk | 1:200.02–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.04 | 2:010.02–0.06 | 0:450.12–0.04 | |||||
| Stanley–Pionk | 1:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Forbort–Poolman | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:380.01–0.00 | 0:510.01–0.00 | ||||||
| DeMelo–Morrissey | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||
| DeMelo–Poolman | 0:370.00–0.05 | 0:560.00–0.05 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WPGTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Josh MorrisseyWPG | 28 | 26:01 | 0:56 | 1:31 | 8 | 3 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 23:33 | 0:57 | 1:45 | 3 | 7 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 26 | 23:18 | 0:54 | 1:45 | 5 | 3 |
 Justin HollTOR | 28 | 21:48 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 1 | 6 |
 Jake MuzzinTOR | 28 | 21:26 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 2 | 6 |
 Kyle ConnorWPG | 22 | 20:30 | 0:56 | 1:34 | 6 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 21 | 20:13 | 0:58 | 1:45 | 3 | 4 |
 Neal PionkWPG | 23 | 19:14 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 5 | 2 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 26 | 19:03 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 2 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 19 | 18:44 | 0:59 | 1:55 | 4 | 1 |
 Tucker PoolmanWPG | 22 | 18:26 | 0:50 | 2:16 | 3 | 3 |
 Blake WheelerWPG | 20 | 18:17 | 0:55 | 1:29 | 6 | 1 |
 Dylan DeMeloWPG | 21 | 17:48 | 0:51 | 2:40 | 1 | 6 |
 Paul StastnyWPG | 16 | 17:33 | 1:06 | 2:10 | 1 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 19 | 17:31 | 0:55 | 1:35 | 5 | 1 |
 Mark ScheifeleWPG | 17 | 17:11 | 1:01 | 1:29 | 4 | 1 |
 Derek ForbortWPG | 23 | 17:04 | 0:45 | 1:07 | 1 | 5 |
 Nick FolignoTOR | 23 | 17:02 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 0 | 7 |
 Nikolaj EhlersWPG | 22 | 16:23 | 0:45 | 1:39 | 3 | 2 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG | 20 | 16:04 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 3 | 2 |
 Ilya MikheyevTOR | 21 | 15:03 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 1 | 0 |
 Andrew CoppWPG | 22 | 15:02 | 0:41 | 1:50 | 4 | 3 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 21 | 14:43 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 1 | 1 |
 Rasmus SandinTOR | 18 | 13:51 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 4 | 1 |
 Nate ThompsonWPG | 17 | 13:21 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 0 | 7 |
 Logan StanleyWPG | 15 | 13:09 | 0:53 | 1:30 | 1 | 2 |
 Mason AppletonWPG | 19 | 13:08 | 0:41 | 1:35 | 3 | 3 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 21 | 12:49 | 0:37 | 1:09 | 1 | 1 |
 Trevor LewisWPG | 16 | 11:48 | 0:44 | 1:48 | 0 | 7 |
 Alex GalchenyukTOR | 15 | 11:45 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 3 | 1 |
 Wayne SimmondsTOR | 16 | 11:16 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 2 | 0 |
 Adam BrooksTOR | 17 | 9:50 | 0:35 | 0:57 | 2 | 1 |
 Mathieu PerreaultWPG | 16 | 9:28 | 0:36 | 1:16 | 3 | 1 |
 Joe ThorntonTOR | 15 | 9:05 | 0:36 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Jason SpezzaTOR | 16 | 9:00 | 0:34 | 1:20 | 4 | 3 |
 Jansen HarkinsWPG | 8 | 7:38 | 0:57 | 1:15 | 0 | 2 |