Wed, May 12, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.
56%
8%
9%
27%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 21:53 | 0.17 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 21:13 | 0.11 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:13 | 0.12 | 51.5% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:35 | 0.02 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 19:25 | 0.45 | 45.6% | +38.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.06 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.05 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.00 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:40 | 0.29 | 45.4% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.01 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.22 | 40.5% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:38 | 0.40 | 57.2% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.10 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.00 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 12:15 | 0.00 | 41.8% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:53 | 0.16 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:05 | 0.00 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:50 | 0.10 | 67.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 3.08 | −0.9 | 59:26 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 25:02 | 0.02 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 24:27 | 0.02 | 34.9% | +38.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:29 | 0.05 | 76.0% | +14.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21:57 | 0.60 | 46.7% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:35 | 0.04 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.54 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 18:06 | 0.54 | 79.2% | +52.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:59 | 0.19 | 67.4% | +52.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:56 | 0.00 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.22 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.32 | 62.0% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:27 | 0.15 | 46.5% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:39 | 0.00 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 10:39 | 0.28 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.02 | 12.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:40 | 0.02 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:33 | 0.00 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:32 | 0.07 | 66.7% | +14.1 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.26 | −0.7 | 60:02 |