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Ice Lab

Wed, May 12, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Galchenyuk–Marner–MatthewsFoligno–Tavares–NylanderThornton–Spezza–SimmondsKerfoot–Engvall–MikheyevFoligno–Engvall–MikheyevHutton–DermottBrodie–RiellyMuzzin–Holl
Norris–Batherson–Tkachuk6:060.63–0.121:120.05–0.000:400.00–0.021:370.01–0.012:260.00–0.014:180.34–0.062:590.40–0.08
Brown–Pinto–Stützle0:430.00–0.084:400.38–0.170:450.00–0.003:490.35–0.242:180.03–0.03
Anisimov–Dadonov–Paul0:400.18–0.001:170.00–0.001:320.00–0.130:590.00–0.001:320.18–0.002:030.00–0.16
Brown–Formenton–Kelly1:200.00–0.041:070.00–0.110:300.05–0.002:070.00–0.140:390.00–0.00
Anisimov–Dadonov–Stützle0:390.00–0.210:410.02–0.000:390.00–0.000:480.02–0.000:390.00–0.00
Anisimov–Formenton–Kelly0:350.15–0.00
Mete–Zaitsev7:470.36–0.421:480.02–0.000:550.00–0.001:040.00–0.132:120.01–0.096:190.35–0.064:250.05–0.22
Brannstrom–Zub1:570.47–0.006:210.63–0.210:440.05–0.002:120.05–0.114:540.35–0.193:180.35–0.032:540.49–0.11
Bernard-Docker–Alsing0:330.00–0.003:040.02–0.111:430.02–0.071:040.00–0.004:300.02–0.111:470.00–0.021:470.02–0.09
Zaitsev–Zub
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndStützle FBrown FPinto FNorris FTkachuk FBatherson FPaul FAnisimov FDadonov FBrown FKelly FFormenton FZub DBrannstrom DZaitsev DMete DBernard-Docker DAlsing DGustavsson GFoligno FNylander FTavares FGalchenyuk FMarner FMatthews FKerfoot FEngvall FMikheyev FSpezza FSimmonds FThornton FDermott DHutton DRielly DBrodie DHoll DMuzzin DAndersen G
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor MeteOTT3025:020:501:5645
Nikita ZaitsevOTT2624:270:561:5646
Erik BrannstromOTT2722:290:502:2234
Connor BrownOTT2821:570:471:3443
Mitch MarnerTOR2821:530:471:3437
Artem ZubOTT3121:350:421:1636
Morgan RiellyTOR2621:130:491:3455
Jake MuzzinTOR2420:130:511:2625
TJ BrodieTOR2619:350:451:2832
Auston MatthewsTOR2419:250:491:3443
Drake BathersonOTT2418:410:471:2161
Brady TkachukOTT2618:060:421:2151
Josh NorrisOTT2617:590:421:0463
Nick FolignoTOR2717:370:391:2131
Justin HollTOR2217:250:481:2425
Travis DermottTOR2217:150:471:2223
Tim StützleOTT1916:560:532:1131
William NylanderTOR2116:400:481:4551
Ben HuttonTOR2016:370:501:2423
John TavaresTOR2016:150:491:4562
Alexander KerfootTOR2215:380:431:2112
Nick PaulOTT2115:170:441:0948
Shane PintoOTT2213:510:381:0642
Artem AnisimovOTT1613:270:501:3042
Alex GalchenyukTOR1712:490:451:1122
Evgenii DadonovOTT1712:390:451:1062
Ilya MikheyevTOR2012:250:371:1002
Joe ThorntonTOR1412:150:531:3651
Jason SpezzaTOR1711:530:421:2744
Wayne SimmondsTOR1311:050:511:1850
Pierre EngvallTOR1810:500:361:0502
Alex FormentonOTT1710:390:381:1723
Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT1310:390:491:2711
Logan BrownOTT139:400:451:1112
Olle AlsingOTT128:330:431:2711
Parker KellyOTT127:320:381:2412