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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 13, 2022·Capital One Arena, Washington

Ottawa Senators 4, Washington Capitals 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 50% of the time.

WSH winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Brown–Paul–TkachukGaudette–Formenton–StützleEnnis–Tierney–SanfordBishop–Kastelic–KellyTierney–Brown–TkachukBrown–Paul–FormentonFormenton–Kastelic–StützlePaul–Bishop–KellyTierney–Gaudette–FormentonHolden–ZubChabot–ZaitsevBrown–BrannstromZaitsev–BrannstromBrown–ChabotChabot–Zub
Ovechkin–Backstrom–Sheary2:440.00–0.081:060.01–0.002:140.04–0.171:420.00–0.001:040.00–0.078:180.13–0.161:120.00–0.240:530.00–0.000:330.03–0.00
Eller–Sprong–McMichael0:540.00–0.050:430.00–0.012:230.00–0.011:280.01–0.000:380.06–0.001:110.02–0.000:410.00–0.001:490.08–0.003:480.16–0.082:310.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Hagelin–Dowd–Hathaway4:180.03–0.391:170.10–0.021:070.02–0.004:080.01–0.242:360.10–0.32
Kuznetsov–Wilson–Snively1:400.29–0.002:150.28–0.001:180.04–0.000:330.10–0.212:360.45–0.212:230.19–0.331:000.04–0.000:530.04–0.001:170.00–0.01
Carlson–Fehérváry5:350.08–0.171:120.09–0.001:020.00–0.010:580.01–0.210:550.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:110.02–0.005:260.18–0.344:500.15–0.062:000.00–0.041:030.04–0.00
Schultz–van Riemsdyk2:280.00–0.072:210.12–0.042:100.01–0.001:240.10–0.000:320.00–0.070:430.06–0.004:580.18–0.011:590.00–0.141:440.30–0.001:120.00–0.04
Orlov–Jensen1:070.24–0.002:160.18–0.061:580.04–0.181:070.00–0.000:410.00–0.002:410.30–0.032:480.19–0.373:240.04–0.010:430.00–0.00
Schultz–Orlov0:350.00–0.000:370.04–0.211:060.08–0.211:110.00–0.28
van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry1:450.00–0.15
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndWilson FSnively FKuznetsov FHathaway FDowd FHagelin FOvechkin FBackstrom FSheary FEller FSprong FMcMichael FFehérváry DCarlson DJensen DOrlov Dvan Riemsdyk DSchultz DSamsonov GTkachuk FPaul FBrown FStützle FFormenton FGaudette FEnnis FTierney FSanford FBishop FKelly FKastelic FZub DHolden DZaitsev DChabot DBrannstrom DBrown DForsberg G
WSHOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Connor BrownOTT2725:410:574:1338
John CarlsonWSH2723:460:532:3361
Nick HoldenOTT2422:380:572:2209
Nikita ZaitsevOTT2521:520:522:0614
Nick PaulOTT2021:371:054:1404
Thomas ChabotOTT2121:041:004:0821
Artem ZubOTT2420:460:521:4906
Nicklas BackstromWSH2120:260:582:3360
Alex OvechkinWSH2220:150:552:3381
Martin FehérváryWSH2420:080:501:4742
Dmitry OrlovWSH2719:280:431:1644
Alex FormentonOTT1719:181:083:2912
Brady TkachukOTT2219:060:521:5635
Tom WilsonWSH2118:550:542:0653
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2218:550:522:0644
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2117:370:501:3503
Justin SchultzWSH2217:100:471:3530
Tim StützleOTT1817:050:573:2931
Nick JensenWSH2215:420:431:1318
Conor ShearyWSH1815:010:501:2940
Erik BrannstromOTT1914:190:451:5131
Chris TierneyOTT1913:570:441:1526
Nic DowdWSH1913:530:441:4545
Adam GaudetteOTT1813:340:451:0931
Carl HagelinWSH1913:310:431:3645
Lars EllerWSH1513:270:542:0642
Zachary SanfordOTT1912:000:381:0733
Joshua BrownOTT1511:520:471:2111
Joe SnivelyWSH1411:440:501:3821
Daniel SprongWSH1311:020:511:2132
Garnet HathawayWSH1711:000:391:3643
Parker KellyOTT1610:550:411:3722
Tyler EnnisOTT1510:390:431:0132
Connor McMichaelWSH1210:140:511:2132
Mark KastelicOTT148:430:371:1815
Clark BishopOTT127:570:401:1721