Sun, Apr 10, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 0, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.
57%
9%
27%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 25:31 | 0.09 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:00 | 0.06 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 21:28 | 0.07 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:16 | 0.12 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.03 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:16 | 0.42 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:10 | 0.35 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.33 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.12 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:28 | 0.00 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.00 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:49 | 0.24 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:08 | 0.13 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:14 | 0.10 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:58 | 0.20 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.00 | 15.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:25 | 0.11 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 11:04 | 0.04 | 25.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 3.27 | −1.7 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:35 | 0.24 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 22:32 | 0.12 | 31.7% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.06 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:09 | 0.06 | 40.4% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:29 | 0.20 | 88.7% | +21.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 17:06 | 0.11 | 59.2% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.07 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.14 | 57.5% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:50 | 0.43 | 75.7% | +11.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:42 | 0.17 | 30.9% | +7.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.25 | 75.4% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.28 | 57.5% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.46 | 30.0% | +7.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:20 | 0.39 | 76.0% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.28 | 64.0% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:24 | 0.00 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.00 | 79.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 28 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.41 | +2.4 | 60:00 |