Sat, Apr 16, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 64% of the time.
53%
11%
9%
27%
BUF winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:46 | 0.04 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:07 | 0.08 | 39.5% | +23.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:43 | 0.18 | 64.0% | +9.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:01 | 0.26 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:54 | 0.00 | 15.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:31 | 0.07 | 31.9% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:09 | 0.24 | 58.4% | +9.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.01 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.21 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:08 | 0.07 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.06 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.21 | 20.9% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:47 | 0.00 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.02 | 7.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:43 | 0.03 | 56.2% | +9.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:03 | 0.00 | 26.7% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:24 | 0.10 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:16 | 0.22 | 26.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 2.54 | −1.5 | 57:30 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:59 | 0.00 | 94.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:45 | 0.00 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 22:33 | 0.06 | 48.2% | +42.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22:08 | 0.16 | 95.5% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.31 | 58.8% | +20.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.05 | 65.8% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.00 | 88.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:34 | 0.36 | 99.8% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.05 | 45.9% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:53 | 0.33 | 69.6% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.21 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.03 | 35.5% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:25 | 0.50 | 83.8% | +24.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:22 | 0.23 | 88.2% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:02 | 0.04 | 62.2% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.12 | 86.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:54 | 0.00 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.09 | 90.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 1.80 | −1.2 | 59:54 |