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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 16, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Winnipeg Jets 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 76% of the time.

TBL winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stastny–Ehlers–ConnorWheeler–Dubois–BarronToninato–Harkins–SvechnikovLowry–Sanford–AppletonWheeler–Lowry–BarronSanford–Appleton–DuboisSanford–Harkins–AppletonDeMelo–MorrisseySchmidt–PionkDillon–StanleyMorrissey–Pionk
Kucherov–Paul–Point2:460.16–0.003:100.20–0.000:570.00–0.001:030.00–0.003:410.13–0.084:050.22–0.043:100.10–0.00
Killorn–Cirelli–Hagel7:200.45–0.120:350.02–0.000:500.01–0.001:130.01–0.124:270.16–0.003:350.59–0.00
Perry–Maroon–Bellemare0:580.00–0.003:460.21–0.271:400.04–0.005:060.14–0.212:230.07–0.151:330.03–0.01
Stamkos–Palat–Colton1:040.00–0.003:460.22–0.012:250.08–0.002:420.14–0.002:480.06–0.002:460.10–0.01
McDonagh–Cernak6:460.15–0.051:030.00–0.001:110.00–0.011:440.00–0.003:210.00–0.005:110.00–0.004:180.35–0.06
Hedman–Rutta0:520.01–0.002:550.28–0.011:300.06–0.001:110.00–0.000:490.00–0.004:270.28–0.001:100.17–0.002:500.00–0.010:490.00–0.00
Bogosian–Sergachev2:250.07–0.161:550.00–0.001:170.00–0.280:380.00–0.042:070.00–0.463:380.07–0.101:210.00–0.00
Hedman–Sergachev3:100.16–0.120:390.00–0.121:200.16–0.001:070.00–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev1:110.00–0.000:340.06–0.001:060.00–0.001:090.06–0.001:520.10–0.00
McDonagh–Bogosian0:450.11–0.000:470.05–0.001:410.12–0.000:560.03–0.03
Sergachev–Rutta0:380.07–0.001:070.02–0.011:020.20–0.00
McDonagh–Hedman0:530.05–0.001:140.05–0.00
McDonagh–Rutta1:010.00–0.06
Bogosian–Hedman0:300.00–0.08
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKillorn FHagel FCirelli FPaul FPoint FKucherov FStamkos FPalat FColton FMaroon FBellemare FPerry FHedman DSergachev DMcDonagh DCernak DBogosian DRutta DElliott GStastny FEhlers FConnor FWheeler FBarron FDubois FSanford FLowry FAppleton FToninato FSvechnikov FHarkins FPionk DSchmidt DMorrissey DDeMelo DStanley DDillon DHellebuyck GComrie G
TBLWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan McDonaghTBL2723:470:531:2800
Victor HedmanTBL2623:030:531:1953
Mikhail SergachevTBL2722:550:511:2151
Josh MorrisseyWPG2522:170:532:2630
Paul StastnyWPG2321:450:571:2611
Nate SchmidtWPG2621:080:491:2623
Erik CernakTBL2520:360:491:2801
Dylan DeMeloWPG2420:180:511:5611
Nikita KucherovTBL2219:400:541:4662
Kyle ConnorWPG2219:360:531:3510
Neal PionkWPG2519:240:471:2412
Brayden PointTBL2019:040:571:4652
Nikolaj EhlersWPG2018:340:561:2110
Logan StanleyWPG2218:320:511:4313
Brenden DillonWPG2017:530:541:4311
Alex KillornTBL2017:070:511:3920
Mason AppletonWPG2116:320:471:4202
Steven StamkosTBL1915:330:491:2152
Nick PaulTBL1815:210:511:2561
Blake WheelerWPG1915:090:481:2932
Jan RuttaTBL1914:530:471:1322
Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG2014:010:421:0621
Morgan BarronWPG1813:560:461:2913
Ondrej PalatTBL1813:550:461:0622
Adam LowryWPG2013:440:411:3604
Anthony CirelliTBL1913:320:431:3801
Patrick MaroonTBL1513:300:541:3121
Corey PerryTBL1513:270:541:2221
Zach BogosianTBL1912:170:391:0521
Zachary SanfordWPG1712:140:431:2500
Brandon HagelTBL1612:000:451:1501
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1611:490:441:2121
Ross ColtonTBL1511:330:461:0322
Dominic ToninatoWPG1311:050:511:2300
Jansen HarkinsWPG109:170:561:1601
Evgeny SvechnikovWPG97:490:521:3001