Thu, Feb 17, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 74% of the time.
18%
8%
66%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 25:15 | 0.04 | 71.8% | +37.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:50 | 0.04 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:44 | 0.12 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.28 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:27 | 0.02 | 80.6% | +24.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 19:06 | 0.89 | 71.8% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.02 | 92.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:31 | 0.00 | 79.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.00 | 86.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:52 | 0.48 | 89.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.30 | 92.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:56 | 0.00 | 88.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:52 | 0.41 | 79.7% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:18 | 0.00 | 98.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:24 | 0.24 | 90.8% | +24.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:44 | 0.05 | 91.5% | +35.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:30 | 0.21 | 87.1% | +35.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:09 | 0.00 | 78.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 1.76 | +0.8 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 23:32 | 0.05 | 14.3% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:11 | 0.49 | 15.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:06 | 0.00 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:12 | 0.08 | 13.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.16 | 12.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.04 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.07 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:46 | 0.37 | 8.9% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.09 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.07 | 24.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.12 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.04 | 3.3% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.01 | 1.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.00 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:08 | 0.17 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:32 | 0.00 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:42 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.58 | +0.6 | 59:32 |