OTT 3 @ BUF 1 · Feb 17, 2022

Thu, Feb 17, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Away

Ottawa Senators

Final

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Buffalo Sabres

Three stars

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 74% of the time.

18%

66%

BUF winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

	Brown–Paul–Tkachuk	Gaudette–Formenton–Stützle	Ennis–Tierney–Sanford	Watson–Gambrell–Kelly	Gaudette–Tkachuk–Stützle	Watson–Formenton–Stützle	Ennis–Tierney–Kelly	Holden–Zaitsev	Brannstrom–Zub	Brown–Mete
Skinner–Tuch–Thompson	5:190.15–0.04	1:220.00–0.11	2:200.00–0.29					5:120.02–0.33	3:140.13–0.08	2:170.00–0.22
Olofsson–Krebs–Cozens	3:090.00–0.41		2:190.03–0.00	0:580.00–0.00				2:520.06–0.12	2:120.02–0.00	3:430.04–0.29
Okposo–Eakin–Asplund	1:210.00–0.05	3:310.00–0.20	1:150.01–0.00			0:320.00–0.00		2:060.01–0.00	2:580.00–0.15	2:320.00–0.10
Jankowski–Hayden–Bjork	0:580.00–0.12	0:550.00–0.02		2:200.00–0.05	0:400.00–0.03		0:330.00–0.00	1:380.00–0.08	2:320.00–0.12	1:260.00–0.02
Okposo–Jankowski–Bjork								0:300.00–0.02
Fitzgerald–Bryson	2:550.17–0.15	1:270.00–0.00	3:040.03–0.00	2:330.00–0.05		0:440.00–0.00		5:140.24–0.08	6:050.02–0.13	2:150.07–0.00
Jokiharju–Dahlin	5:460.14–0.34	2:480.00–0.11	1:300.01–0.32	0:410.00–0.22				4:410.08–0.40	4:120.13–0.20	4:100.00–0.51
Pysyk–Hagg	1:180.00–0.00	2:570.00–0.20	1:400.00–0.07				0:330.00–0.00	2:400.00–0.01	2:340.00–0.17	3:340.00–0.29
Hagg–Fitzgerald	1:080.00–0.12				0:330.00–0.00			1:390.00–0.12
Jokiharju–Bryson								0:380.00–0.03

Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals


Nick HoldenOTT	30	25:15	0:51	1:39	2	7
Rasmus DahlinBUF	25	23:32	0:56	1:44	6	2
Nikita ZaitsevOTT	27	22:50	0:51	1:44	1	7
Connor BrownOTT	23	22:15	0:58	2:04	2	3
Alex TuchBUF	26	22:11	0:51	1:38	10	4
Henri JokiharjuBUF	27	21:06	0:47	1:39	4	2
Tage ThompsonBUF	25	20:12	0:48	1:34	10	4
Jeff SkinnerBUF	24	20:07	0:50	1:53	10	1
Nick PaulOTT	25	19:33	0:47	1:25	2	9
Artem ZubOTT	24	19:27	0:49	1:30	2	4
Casey FitzgeraldBUF	26	19:13	0:44	1:31	5	2
Brady TkachukOTT	21	19:06	0:55	1:18	2	1
Jacob BrysonBUF	27	18:32	0:41	1:43	5	2
Joshua BrownOTT	26	18:03	0:42	1:17	1	5
Kyle OkposoBUF	23	17:46	0:46	1:49	5	3
Erik BrannstromOTT	23	17:31	0:46	1:23	3	2
Peyton KrebsBUF	22	16:37	0:45	1:26	9	1
Victor OlofssonBUF	23	16:37	0:43	1:43	5	1
Dylan CozensBUF	22	16:35	0:45	1:14	4	1
Tim StützleOTT	18	16:04	0:54	1:36	4	0
Alex FormentonOTT	21	15:52	0:45	1:23	4	4
Robert HaggBUF	21	14:47	0:42	1:29	1	5
Victor MeteOTT	21	14:37	0:42	1:11	2	2
Rasmus AsplundBUF	19	14:36	0:46	1:30	4	4
Chris TierneyOTT	18	13:56	0:46	1:38	2	2
Zachary SanfordOTT	21	13:52	0:40	1:42	2	1
Mark PysykBUF	21	13:50	0:40	1:01	1	6
Cody EakinBUF	18	13:25	0:45	1:24	2	4
Adam GaudetteOTT	15	13:18	0:53	1:23	4	0
Tyler EnnisOTT	17	12:24	0:44	1:31	2	1
Mark JankowskiBUF	17	11:08	0:39	1:15	1	1
Austin WatsonOTT	16	10:44	0:40	1:11	1	5
Anders BjorkBUF	14	9:32	0:41	1:11	1	1
Dylan GambrellOTT	13	7:30	0:35	0:58	0	1
Parker KellyOTT	13	7:09	0:33	0:47	1	1
John HaydenBUF	11	6:42	0:37	0:59	1	1

Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Who was on the ice

Shift totals