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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 20, 2022·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Washington Capitals 2, Ottawa Senators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 86% of the time.

OTT winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ovechkin–Eller–ShearyOshie–Strome–SnivelyDowd–Hathaway–ProtasJohansson–Mantha–McMichaelJohansson–Dowd–ManthaCarlson–OrlovJensen–FehérváryGustafsson–van RiemsdykOrlov–GustafssonCarlson–FehérváryOrlov–JensenGustafsson–FehérváryJensen–van RiemsdykCarlson–van RiemsdykJensen–Gustafsson
Giroux–DeBrincat–Norris2:430.24–0.003:240.32–0.031:450.00–0.001:250.05–0.103:400.23–0.102:110.00–0.031:210.28–0.000:300.03–0.000:380.00–0.000:470.06–0.001:100.11–0.00
Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle1:420.03–0.122:240.00–0.002:320.05–0.010:370.01–0.000:580.41–0.023:460.01–0.011:530.03–0.291:210.09–0.000:370.00–0.00
Motte–Joseph–Pinto2:190.18–0.001:370.20–0.011:480.26–0.002:520.11–0.010:540.00–0.001:260.10–0.001:140.10–0.140:500.25–0.000:400.18–0.00
Watson–Kastelic–Kelly2:100.00–0.091:080.00–0.020:330.01–0.000:480.02–0.001:480.00–0.150:570.01–0.021:170.02–0.000:340.00–0.00
Motte–Tkachuk–Stützle0:430.00–0.24
Motte–Batherson–Stützle0:330.00–0.08
Chabot–Zub4:500.31–0.004:210.00–0.032:180.01–0.010:560.00–0.003:270.09–0.005:280.01–0.042:000.02–0.000:330.10–0.000:360.00–0.011:070.20–0.000:490.00–0.00
Hamonic–Sanderson2:480.11–0.203:170.21–0.032:240.20–0.013:280.47–0.161:080.00–0.032:420.30–0.211:350.00–0.140:440.00–0.00
Holden–Brannstrom0:430.02–0.000:470.04–0.001:210.00–0.003:130.33–0.180:410.01–0.002:270.06–0.121:180.01–0.001:160.08–0.080:520.00–0.001:180.25–0.000:380.00–0.00
Holden–Zub0:350.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Holden–Hamonic0:330.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Chabot–Brannstrom0:410.00–0.24
Hamonic–Chabot0:450.15–0.000:300.03–0.000:370.15–0.00
Chabot–Sanderson0:460.03–0.08
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTkachuk FStützle FBatherson FDeBrincat FNorris FGiroux FPinto FJoseph FMotte FWatson FKelly FKastelic FZub DChabot DHamonic DSanderson DHolden DBrannstrom DForsberg GStrome FOshie FSnively FSheary FOvechkin FEller FMcMichael FJohansson FMantha FDowd FHathaway FProtas FJensen DFehérváry DOrlov DCarlson DGustafsson Dvan Riemsdyk DKuemper G
OTTWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT2525:101:002:0452
John CarlsonWSH2724:010:531:5555
Artem ZubOTT2823:370:511:2913
Dmitry OrlovWSH2722:450:511:3252
Alex OvechkinWSH2119:590:572:1151
Travis HamonicOTT2419:570:502:2404
Josh NorrisOTT2819:420:421:2254
Alex DeBrincatOTT2619:210:451:2441
Drake BathersonOTT2218:570:521:1571
Nick JensenWSH2518:520:451:1326
Dylan StromeWSH1918:070:572:1132
Brady TkachukOTT2217:590:491:4262
Conor ShearyWSH2217:470:491:1930
Nick HoldenOTT2317:370:461:3712
Tim StützleOTT1817:220:581:3150
Martin FehérváryWSH2617:100:401:1125
Erik GustafssonWSH2117:090:491:4120
Lars EllerWSH2316:430:441:3852
T.J. OshieWSH2016:360:502:1242
Marcus JohanssonWSH1916:020:511:5522
Claude GirouxOTT2615:540:371:1343
Jake SandersonOTT2015:470:471:4803
Tyler MotteOTT2115:240:441:5013
Joe SnivelyWSH2015:160:461:1722
Anthony ManthaWSH1914:500:471:2612
Shane PintoOTT2114:280:411:1311
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2114:110:411:1324
Nic DowdWSH1913:340:431:1309
Mathieu JosephOTT2213:020:361:2013
Garnet HathawayWSH1812:060:401:0107
Erik BrannstromOTT1911:540:381:0411
Austin WatsonOTT169:560:372:1301
Aliaksei ProtasWSH149:060:390:5503
Connor McMichaelWSH118:330:471:3600
Mark KastelicOTT147:350:332:0502
Parker KellyOTT116:420:372:1600