Sat, Dec 10, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Florida Panthers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.
57%
28%
TBL winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 26:30 | 0.24 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:09 | 0.23 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 25:12 | 0.25 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:31 | 0.11 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:40 | 0.24 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:53 | 0.24 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.25 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.17 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.15 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:11 | 0.63 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.10 | 41.1% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.00 | 21.1% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:26 | 0.37 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:54 | 0.02 | 16.5% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:22 | 0.15 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:00 | 0.03 | 9.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:18 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 34 | 4 | .895 | 4.14 | +0.1 | 59:33 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:46 | 0.03 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:40 | 0.08 | 55.5% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.03 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.00 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 18:40 | 0.97 | 58.5% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.13 | 54.3% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.04 | 53.9% | +33.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 0.56 | 46.5% | +24.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:53 | 0.68 | 45.3% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.03 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.12 | 44.9% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:08 | 0.34 | 46.0% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:07 | 0.39 | 57.9% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.25 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.07 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:31 | 0.16 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.18 | 43.7% | +15.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:18 | 0.08 | 56.9% | +18.2 |
| W | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 3.19 | +2.2 | 59:54 |