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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 10, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Florida Panthers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Barkov–Reinhart–LuostarinenStaal–Cousins–WhiteVerhaeghe–Bennett–TkachukDalpe–Tierney–LombergStaal–Dalpe–CousinsVerhaeghe–Barkov–TkachukVerhaeghe–Barkov–ReinhartBarkov–Reinhart–TkachukStaal–MontourEkblad–ForslingForsling–MahuraEkblad–MontourStaal–ForslingMontour–MahuraMontour–ForslingEkblad–MahuraStaal–EkbladEkblad–KierstedStaal–MahuraMontour–KierstedStaal–KierstedMahura–Kiersted
Killorn–Stamkos–Paul4:560.24–0.151:590.11–0.140:590.15–0.041:050.00–0.150:330.22–0.003:290.24–0.032:460.11–0.141:290.22–0.000:520.08–0.001:080.00–0.160:470.15–0.15
Maroon–Cirelli–Colton1:470.05–0.001:400.24–0.030:420.13–0.001:050.12–0.000:510.00–0.002:330.05–0.030:380.25–0.000:400.00–0.001:060.00–0.011:240.10–0.000:570.14–0.000:390.00–0.370:430.04–0.00
Perry–Namestnikov–Bellemare4:280.11–0.233:040.27–0.000:320.00–0.001:090.00–0.002:080.24–0.001:090.02–0.001:060.09–0.000:310.04–0.000:530.00–0.10
Kucherov–Point–Hagel1:320.00–0.573:160.33–0.170:350.10–0.002:260.15–0.302:450.18–0.200:430.06–0.050:400.10–0.000:450.00–0.00
Stamkos–Kucherov–Point0:520.02–0.00
Sergachev–Foote3:090.13–0.004:120.21–0.260:330.13–0.152:300.36–0.001:430.05–0.002:250.08–0.172:080.46–0.050:320.00–0.130:480.00–0.051:110.02–0.001:560.02–0.190:370.14–0.001:100.09–0.000:560.00–0.100:360.00–0.01
Cole–Cernak1:160.01–0.074:580.44–0.300:590.00–0.000:330.22–0.003:470.25–0.032:390.18–0.341:290.22–0.000:410.00–0.010:580.00–0.00
Hedman–Perbix4:320.16–0.692:340.03–0.030:300.00–0.001:270.13–0.000:520.00–0.003:260.13–0.332:430.03–0.041:080.09–0.000:300.10–0.000:340.00–0.000:390.00–0.350:390.00–0.00
Hedman–Cernak
Hedman–Sergachev0:350.15–0.000:480.15–0.15
Sergachev–Perbix0:390.10–0.021:120.18–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPoint FHagel FKucherov FPaul FKillorn FStamkos FCirelli FColton FMaroon FPerry FBellemare FNamestnikov FPerbix DHedman DCernak DCole DSergachev DFoote DVasilevskiy GReinhart FBarkov FLuostarinen FTkachuk FBennett FVerhaeghe FWhite FCousins FStaal FDalpe FTierney FLomberg FEkblad DForsling DMontour DStaal DMahura DKiersted DBobrovsky G
TBLFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brandon MontourFLA2626:301:012:3434
Gustav ForslingFLA2926:090:542:3954
Aaron EkbladFLA3125:120:491:3965
Victor HedmanTBL2522:460:552:0034
Mikhail SergachevTBL2622:400:522:3244
Aleksander BarkovFLA2322:310:591:4536
Marc StaalFLA2620:400:481:5627
Sam ReinhartFLA2219:530:541:4736
Matthew TkachukFLA2119:250:551:5032
Ian ColeTBL2518:530:451:3727
Erik CernakTBL2418:460:471:3729
Steven StamkosTBL2018:400:562:2033
Alex KillornTBL2117:180:491:2334
Cal FooteTBL2117:170:492:3442
Nikita KucherovTBL1916:180:512:2233
Sam BennettFLA2116:030:461:3163
Brayden PointTBL1915:530:502:0043
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1915:430:502:3612
Carter VerhaegheFLA2015:260:461:2253
Brandon HagelTBL2315:160:401:1537
Eetu LuostarinenFLA1715:110:541:5122
Anthony CirelliTBL2215:080:412:0066
Eric StaalFLA1814:220:481:5414
Josh MahuraFLA1914:130:451:3232
Nick PaulTBL2114:070:401:2135
Corey PerryTBL1614:000:532:4030
Colin WhiteFLA1613:260:501:4433
Nick PerbixTBL1713:080:462:0012
Nick CousinsFLA1512:520:511:3812
Ross ColtonTBL1512:310:502:1860
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1411:240:491:5311
Patrick MaroonTBL1410:180:442:1960
Zac DalpeFLA148:540:380:5710
Ryan LombergFLA128:220:421:2010
Chris TierneyFLA138:000:371:1810
Matt KierstedFLA85:180:401:2410