Sat, Dec 31, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Arizona Coyotes 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.
56%
9%
8%
27%
TBL winsARI wins
Arizona Coyotes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:44 | 0.04 | 27.5% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:39 | 0.17 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23:10 | 0.26 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.06 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 18:38 | 0.35 | 60.8% | +14.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.38 | 35.5% | +14.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.25 | 41.3% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.06 | 32.0% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:00 | 0.17 | 59.3% | +14.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:00 | 0.38 | 53.9% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.18 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.00 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 | 0.01 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:32 | 0.10 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.00 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.05 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:57 | 0.00 | 8.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:04 | 0.00 | 2.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 30 | 5 | .857 | 3.32 | −1.7 | 58:24 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 26:35 | 0.11 | 63.9% | +58.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:04 | 0.12 | 60.6% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 22:47 | 0.49 | 69.2% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:41 | 0.04 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 21:09 | 0.65 | 71.7% | +14.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:39 | 0.44 | 68.7% | +40.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:09 | 0.29 | 50.0% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:22 | 0.10 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:27 | 0.41 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.20 | 53.9% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:41 | 0.00 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.12 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.00 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:45 | 0.06 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:20 | 0.03 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:21 | 0.22 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:54 | 0.00 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:19 | 0.05 | 51.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.47 | −0.5 | 60:00 |