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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 6, 2023·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Winnipeg Jets 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 65% of the time.

WPG winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Killorn–Stamkos–CirelliKucherov–Point–HagelMaroon–Paul–ColtonPerry–Namestnikov–BellemareStamkos–Kucherov–PointStamkos–Kucherov–HagelCole–CernakSergachev–PerbixFleury–FooteCernak–SergachevCole–PerbixFleury–CernakSergachev–FooteCole–Foote
Ehlers–Connor–Dubois4:040.01–0.501:420.03–0.011:180.21–0.000:570.00–0.000:470.00–0.034:350.12–0.363:160.05–0.170:400.12–0.010:310.00–0.00
Wheeler–Scheifele–Perfetti2:400.03–0.371:370.20–0.111:130.00–0.002:010.00–0.371:180.01–0.002:490.07–0.12
Lowry–Barron–Kuhlman4:250.02–0.080:400.00–0.002:000.00–0.001:470.00–0.012:030.02–0.07
Gagner–Stenlund–Jonsson-Fjallby0:320.10–0.001:400.00–0.121:270.09–0.102:280.09–0.230:560.10–0.000:380.00–0.00
Stenlund–Barron–Kuhlman0:380.00–0.060:560.00–0.06
Gagner–Lowry–Barron0:360.04–0.000:360.04–0.00
Schmidt–Samberg1:410.01–0.002:110.03–0.073:430.32–0.270:370.00–0.003:330.03–0.031:500.01–0.123:440.17–0.19
DeMelo–Morrissey1:350.35–0.174:010.21–0.010:380.00–0.001:410.00–0.102:210.25–0.074:430.21–0.281:290.10–0.001:140.00–0.00
Dillon–Pionk4:160.03–0.701:260.02–0.010:330.00–0.000:520.00–0.004:230.00–0.702:120.05–0.011:300.03–0.000:330.00–0.00
Schmidt–Morrissey0:590.09–0.000:320.00–0.000:540.09–0.000:300.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Dillon–DeMelo1:040.00–0.061:020.00–0.06
Samberg–Pionk0:430.00–0.040:330.04–0.000:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLowry FKuhlman FBarron FEhlers FDubois FConnor FWheeler FPerfetti FScheifele FGagner FStenlund FJonsson-Fjallby FDeMelo DMorrissey DDillon DPionk DSamberg DSchmidt DHellebuyck GPoint FHagel FKucherov FPaul FColton FMaroon FStamkos FKillorn FCirelli FPerry FBellemare FNamestnikov FPerbix DSergachev DCernak DCole DFleury DFoote DVasilevskiy G
WPGTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevTBL2527:441:073:1931
Josh MorrisseyWPG2722:110:491:5433
Erik CernakTBL2422:030:551:5516
Kyle ConnorWPG2421:240:542:2342
Ian ColeTBL2421:230:531:5014
Nikita KucherovTBL1920:571:062:3532
Brandon HagelTBL2220:410:562:3412
Dylan DeMeloWPG2720:370:461:4923
Steven StamkosTBL1920:241:042:5341
Nate SchmidtWPG1919:481:031:5511
Brenden DillonWPG2519:230:471:2747
Brayden PointTBL1919:221:012:0543
Neal PionkWPG2718:210:411:3252
Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG2618:080:421:4963
Adam LowryWPG2817:300:381:3346
Nikolaj EhlersWPG2017:220:521:4960
Nick PerbixTBL2217:170:471:1530
Morgan BarronWPG2416:580:421:2326
Dylan SambergWPG1916:040:511:4911
Anthony CirelliTBL2215:460:431:0934
Nick PaulTBL1915:440:501:2433
Alex KillornTBL2115:380:451:1232
Mark ScheifeleWPG2115:310:441:2763
Haydn FleuryTBL2114:290:411:1410
Karson KuhlmanWPG1913:230:421:0221
Blake WheelerWPG2313:140:351:2342
Kevin StenlundWPG1612:440:481:0903
Cole PerfettiWPG1711:480:421:2342
Ross ColtonTBL1210:500:541:1921
Cal FooteTBL1510:430:431:2510
Patrick MaroonTBL1310:110:471:2400
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL159:500:391:0901
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL159:010:361:1102
Sam GagnerWPG118:340:471:0410
Axel Jonsson-FjallbyWPG97:080:481:0700
Corey PerryTBL117:000:381:0120