Thu, Jan 12, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Winnipeg Jets 4, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
8%
33%
BUF winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:56 | 0.17 | 36.4% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:00 | 0.01 | 30.6% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:28 | 0.01 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:09 | 0.39 | 46.7% | +36.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.01 | 71.9% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.01 | 44.2% | +4.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.72 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 16:45 | 0.34 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:50 | 0.23 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.00 | 41.5% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.23 | 46.9% | +56.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.82 | 63.3% | +4.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.00 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.09 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.10 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 9:37 | 0.18 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:00 | 0.02 | 23.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 41 | 39 | 2 | .951 | 3.91 | +1.9 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 26:25 | 0.14 | 62.1% | +28.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:32 | 0.25 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:58 | 0.15 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 21:56 | 0.57 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 21:32 | 0.73 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.04 | 36.1% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:47 | 0.03 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:34 | 0.44 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 0.61 | 80.4% | +28.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:02 | 0.00 | 78.9% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.10 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 6 | 13:08 | 0.54 | 81.6% | +52.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.12 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.00 | 97.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:54 | 0.00 | 81.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.00 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.17 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:11 | 0.01 | 23.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 1.94 | −1.1 | 58:35 |