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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 12, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Winnipeg Jets 4, Buffalo Sabres 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 59% of the time.

BUF winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ehlers–Connor–DuboisWheeler–Scheifele–PerfettiLowry–Maenalanen–KuhlmanGagner–Stenlund–Jonsson-FjallbyLowry–Connor–KuhlmanWheeler–Scheifele–MaenalanenDeMelo–MorrisseySchmidt–SambergDillon–PionkSamberg–PionkSchmidt–MorrisseyDillon–DeMeloSchmidt–PionkDeMelo–SambergMorrissey–SambergDillon–SchmidtDillon–MorrisseyMorrissey–Pionk
Skinner–Tuch–Thompson2:450.05–0.072:160.37–0.203:050.01–0.102:020.05–0.021:570.10–0.043:240.00–0.150:510.02–0.001:200.19–0.000:370.27–0.000:560.01–0.15
Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs1:360.10–0.002:060.07–0.011:470.00–0.011:520.13–0.104:240.23–0.110:470.00–0.011:340.00–0.001:070.07–0.000:450.00–0.00
Olofsson–Jost–Mittelstadt2:230.45–0.001:520.03–0.010:380.05–0.001:550.57–0.001:040.00–0.010:460.01–0.000:340.00–0.000:340.09–0.000:300.21–0.000:490.10–0.251:090.03–0.00
Hinostroza–Asplund–Cozens1:550.00–0.621:010.01–0.050:520.00–0.111:430.11–0.041:130.01–0.273:230.11–0.651:220.00–0.050:340.11–0.00
Hinostroza–Asplund–Jost1:210.08–0.001:140.08–0.00
Tuch–Thompson–Mittelstadt1:130.08–0.08
Jokiharju–Power4:270.05–0.631:460.17–0.063:050.02–0.211:080.13–0.003:590.17–0.252:530.10–0.672:430.00–0.100:350.00–0.000:550.07–0.001:040.01–0.00
Samuelsson–Dahlin1:360.10–0.052:590.04–0.052:360.05–0.032:580.18–0.011:220.11–0.002:000.01–0.100:550.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:430.03–0.000:470.00–0.00
Bryson–Lyubushkin1:220.45–0.002:060.00–0.001:120.00–0.001:380.45–0.002:050.00–0.000:520.00–0.00
Bryson–Dahlin0:440.00–0.000:370.15–0.000:320.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:440.19–0.00
Dahlin–Power0:510.08–0.181:050.02–0.00
Samuelsson–Lyubushkin0:450.10–0.011:250.00–0.04
Jokiharju–Samuelsson0:420.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Bryson–Power0:410.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Bryson–Samuelsson0:470.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Jokiharju–Dahlin0:440.00–0.000:340.00–0.25
Dahlin–Lyubushkin
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKrebs FOkposo FGirgensons FThompson FTuch FSkinner FCozens FHinostroza FAsplund FJost FOlofsson FMittelstadt FSamuelsson DDahlin DJokiharju DPower DLyubushkin DBryson DLuukkonen GEhlers FDubois FConnor FKuhlman FLowry FMaenalanen FPerfetti FWheeler FScheifele FJonsson-Fjallby FStenlund FGagner FDeMelo DMorrissey DDillon DPionk DSamberg DSchmidt DHellebuyck G
BUFWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF2526:251:032:1341
Tage ThompsonBUF2023:321:112:0481
Josh MorrisseyWPG2822:560:492:1142
Dylan DeMeloWPG3122:000:431:4958
Owen PowerBUF2521:580:531:4045
Jeff SkinnerBUF2121:561:032:08101
Alex TuchBUF2221:320:592:0571
Neal PionkWPG2620:280:471:3026
Kyle ConnorWPG2620:090:471:2654
Henri JokiharjuBUF2619:360:451:3448
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2418:470:471:2828
Dylan SambergWPG1918:450:592:0123
Brenden DillonWPG2417:580:452:04110
Dylan CozensBUF2017:340:531:4375
Adam LowryWPG2517:290:421:2927
Mark ScheifeleWPG2316:520:441:1675
Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG2416:450:421:2353
Blake WheelerWPG2215:500:431:1765
Nate SchmidtWPG2215:500:431:2362
Nikolaj EhlersWPG1815:090:511:1950
Karson KuhlmanWPG2214:420:401:0714
Tyson JostBUF2114:230:411:1146
Casey MittelstadtBUF2014:020:421:5664
Peyton KrebsBUF1813:550:461:2511
Victor OlofssonBUF1913:080:411:2565
Kyle OkposoBUF1813:070:441:0712
Saku MaenalanenWPG2112:430:360:5714
Kevin StenlundWPG2012:380:381:0613
Axel Jonsson-FjallbyWPG1812:090:411:1010
Jacob BrysonBUF1412:000:511:4911
Ilya LyubushkinBUF1811:540:401:0502
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1511:300:461:2001
Vinnie HinostrozaBUF1310:390:491:4311
Cole PerfettiWPG149:370:411:0741
Rasmus AsplundBUF149:110:391:1622
Sam GagnerWPG158:000:320:4901